---
title: "Cheetos case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Cheetos ($175.23) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.06% from 13 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1186
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:12Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Cheetos](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1186)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Cheetos

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1186?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1186?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1186) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1186?window=all)

Price · $175.23 · 175 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 90.06% · EV $157.80 from 13 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 24.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 16.1% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 83.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1186?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1186?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1186) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1186?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Sticker \| Vox Eminor (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vox-eminor-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 2,000 | $33.9K 33,931 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $10.5K 10,504 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) | 1 in 1,000 | $5,250 5,250 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $890 890 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 26.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 11.3% | $286 286 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 20.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Stained (Well-Worn) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-stained-well-worn) | 15.9% | $147 147 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 14.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-golden-coil-well-worn) | 15.6% | $94.00 94 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sealed Graffiti \| Recoil AWP (Blood Red) graffiti · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-recoil-awp-blood-red) | 11.3% | $51.63 51.63 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SCAR-20 \| Splash Jam (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-splash-jam-minimal-wear) | 10.7% | $31.00 31 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| HooXi (Gold) \| Paris 2023 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hooxi-gold-paris-2023) | 1 in 10 | $20.85 20.85 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Brigadier General Pin pin · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/brigadier-general-pin) | 1 in 12 | $15.20 15.2 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Souvenir MP9 \| Dark Age (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mp9-dark-age-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $11.71 11.71 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Autograph Capsule \| Fnatic \| Atlanta 2017 other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/autograph-capsule-fnatic-atlanta-2017) | 1 in 17 | $9.29 9.29 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1186`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1186)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $175 | 90.06% | 13 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed legendary 0.1% covert 20.5% #EB4B4B 20.8% #ffd700 15.9% #B0C3D9 17.2% classified 10.7% extraordinary 8.2% mil spec 6.8%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.06 on average: an expected loss of $9.94 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
