--- title: "Crumbstorm case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Crumbstorm ($362.55) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.93% from 15 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1187 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:21Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Crumbstorm](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1187) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Crumbstorm A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1187?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1187?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1187) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1187?window=all) Price · $362.55 · 363 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 89.93% · EV $326.04 from 15 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 10.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 24.7% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 75.3% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1187?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1187?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1187) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1187?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Karambit \| Case Hardened (Field Tested) - Pattern 387 knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-case-hardened-field-tested-pattern-387) | 1 in 10,000 | $100K 100,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $26.8K 26,800 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $10.6K 10,577 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-field-tested) | 1 in 1,429 | $6,366 6,366 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $2,951 2,951 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Desert Hydra (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,918 1,918 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,253 1,253 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 667 | $1,027 1,027 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Printstream (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-printstream-factory-new) | 24.1% | $782 782 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 57.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 18.4% | $277 277 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 15.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Urban Masked (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-urban-masked-battle-scarred) | 17.4% | $148 148 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Survival Knife \| Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-safari-mesh-well-worn) | 14.9% | $95.89 95.89 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [XM1014 \| Ancient Lore (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-ancient-lore-minimal-wear) | 13.5% | $54.79 54.79 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| es3tag (Gold) \| Rio 2022 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-es3tag-gold-rio-2022) | 11.0% | $32.43 32.43 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ P250 \| Muertos (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-muertos-factory-new) | 1 in 1,039 | $22.33 22.33 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1187`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1187) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $363 | 89.93% | 15 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed #EB4B4B 29.4% extraordinary 0.0% covert 24.4% restricted 0.1% classified 0.3% covert knife 32.2% #8847ff 13.5% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.93 on average: an expected loss of $10.07 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt