--- title: "Clove Cluster case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Clove Cluster ($29.66) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.14% from 13 items with odds, observed 46.68% over 3 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1193 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:11Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Clove Cluster](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1193) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Clove Cluster A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1193?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1193?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1193) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1193?window=all) Price · $29.66 · 29.66 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.14% · EV $26.74 from 13 items Observed RTP, 30d · 46.68% · 3 openings, odds method Variance · 8.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 12.4% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 87.6% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 3 openings · below min 30 days · 3 openings · below min since tracking started · 3 openings · below min -0.5% 188.8% 378.0% **Small sample.** 3 openings and 0.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1193?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1193?window=7d) | 3 | 46.68% ±330.5 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1193) | 3 | 46.68% ±330.5 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1193?window=all) | 3 | 46.68% ±330.5 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 10,000 | $3,527 3,527 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Omega (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-omega-well-worn) | 1 in 275 | $1,237 1,237 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 16.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) | 1 in 127 | $253 253 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Freehand (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-freehand-battle-scarred) | 1 in 75 | $149 149 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife \| Urban Masked (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-survival-knife-urban-masked-well-worn) | 1 in 51 | $102 102 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $66.10 66.1 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [MAC-10 \| Commuter (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-commuter-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $39.95 39.95 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Sticker \| felps (Foil) \| Krakow 2017 sticker · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-felps-foil-krakow-2017) | 1 in 14 | $27.92 27.92 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Sticker \| Fnatic \| DreamHack 2014 sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fnatic-dreamhack-2014) | 1 in 10 | $20.26 20.26 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.4% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [Sticker \| NEO (Gold) \| Berlin 2019 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-neo-gold-berlin-2019) | 12.7% | $15.70 15.7 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-battle-scarred) | 15.7% | $12.69 12.69 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.4% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Rose Iron (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-rose-iron-minimal-wear) | 19.1% | $10.40 10.4 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.4% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Brass (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-brass-field-tested) | 23.2% | $8.59 8.59 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.4% | 1 | 0.7 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1193`, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1193) [Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-battle-scarred) Hidden $29.66 29.66 CSGOBIG\_COIN $12.69 12.69 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.43x 2026-11-10 06:39 UTC [Glock-18 | Brass (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-brass-field-tested) Hidden $29.66 29.66 CSGOBIG\_COIN $8.59 8.59 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.29x 2026-11-10 06:39 UTC [Sticker | Fnatic | DreamHack 2014 sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fnatic-dreamhack-2014) Hidden $29.66 29.66 CSGOBIG\_COIN $20.26 20.26 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.68x 2026-11-10 01:19 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $29.66 | 90.14% | 13 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 18.7% extraordinary 0.4% covert knife 2.7% knifes 1.3% industrial 5.0% #8847FF 7.1% #4B69FF 9.8% #EB4B4B 12.7% #8847ff 19.1% Restricted 23.2% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.14 on average: an expected loss of $9.86 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt