--- title: "Crunch case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Crunch ($116.33) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.05% from 12 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1195 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:22Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Crunch](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1195) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Crunch A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1195?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1195?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1195) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1195?window=all) Price · $116.33 · 116 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.05% · EV $104.76 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 8.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 59.4% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 74.6% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1195?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1195?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1195) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1195?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [EMS Katowice 2014 Legends other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/ems-katowice-2014-legends) | 1 in 10,000 | $26.5K 26,513 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $14.4K 14,435 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $9,868 9,868 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $5,148 5,148 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $2,946 2,946 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Fade (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,795 1,795 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,022 1,022 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Team Dignitas (Holo) \| Cologne 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-cologne-2014) | 1 in 1,034 | $672 672 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 97 | $265 265 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| 3DMAX (Foil) \| Katowice 2015 sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-3dmax-foil-katowice-2015) | 24.1% | $149 149 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 34.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) | 34.0% | $98.30 98.3 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 31.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Duality (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-duality-minimal-wear) | 40.6% | $58.89 58.89 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 22.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1195`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1195) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $116 | 90.05% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed base 0.0% contraband 0.0% covert 0.1% epic 0.0% restricted 0.0% legendary 0.1% remarkable 0.1% covert knife 35.0% Legendary 24.1% pink 40.6% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.05 on average: an expected loss of $9.95 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt