--- title: "Icebox case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Icebox ($57.22) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.04% from 14 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1197 rendered: 2026-11-11T14:32Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Icebox](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1197) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Icebox A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1197?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1197?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1197) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1197?window=all) Price · $57.22 · 57.22 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.04% · EV $51.52 from 14 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 8.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 18.9% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 67.1% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1197?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1197?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1197) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1197?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $10.7K 10,673 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 5,000 | $6,236 6,236 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Medusa (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $2,700 2,700 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) | 1 in 2,000 | $2,366 2,366 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,352 1,352 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,052 1,052 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| ESL Skull (Foil) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-esl-skull-foil-katowice-2014) | 1 in 1,056 | $672 672 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 1 in 1,014 | $265 265 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Freehand (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-freehand-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $149 149 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Tec-9 \| Terrace (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-terrace-field-tested) | 14.7% | $98.38 98.38 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 28.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| jasonR (Foil) \| MLG Columbus 2016 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-jasonr-foil-mlg-columbus-2016) | 13.9% | $59.07 59.07 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 16.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sir Bloody Miami Darryl \| The Professionals agent · master](https://gambatracker.com/items/sir-bloody-miami-darryl-the-professionals) | 16.1% | $35.36 35.36 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $24.38 24.38 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Decimator (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-decimator-battle-scarred) | 36.1% | $17.70 17.7 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1197`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1197) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $57.22 | 90.04% | 14 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 19.1% Exotic 0.1% Covert 0.1% mil spec 14.7% #D32CE6 13.9% master 16.1% classified 36.1% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.04 on average: an expected loss of $9.96 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt