--- title: "Glizzy case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Glizzy ($182.55) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.03% from 15 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1199 rendered: 2026-11-11T14:57Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Glizzy](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1199) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Glizzy A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1199?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1199?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1199) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1199?window=all) Price · $182.55 · 183 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.03% · EV $164.35 from 15 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 66.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 222 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 94.9% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1199?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1199?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1199) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1199?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,000 | $36.9K 36,866 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 22.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $25.8K 25,806 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 15.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $11.1K 11,060 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $6,783 6,783 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $3,183 3,183 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 500 | $1,739 1,739 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $1,209 1,209 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [ESL One Katowice 2015 Challengers (Holo-Foil) other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/esl-one-katowice-2015-challengers-holo-foil) | 1 in 1,087 | $483 483 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Five-SeveN \| Neon Kimono (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-neon-kimono-battle-scarred) | 1 in 25 | $244 244 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-well-worn) | 14.4% | $148 148 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Paracord Knife \| Scorched (Battle-Scarred) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-scorched-battle-scarred) | 13.4% | $104 104 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Man-o'-war (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-man-o-war-field-tested) | 12.9% | $69.59 69.59 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Galil AR \| Sugar Rush (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-field-tested) | 10.8% | $42.20 42.2 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Nova \| Blaze Orange (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-blaze-orange-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12 | $29.71 29.71 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [SG 553 \| Gator Mesh (Well-Worn) weapon · #5E98D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-gator-mesh-well-worn) | 35.0% | $22.01 22.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1199`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1199) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $183 | 90.03% | 15 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 13.6% legendary 0.1% extraordinary 0.1% contraband 0.1% base 0.1% Restricted 4.0% classified 25.2% gold 13.4% Mil Spec Grade 8.3% #5E98D9 35.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.03 on average: an expected loss of $9.97 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt