--- title: "The Thrill case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "The Thrill ($30.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 20 items with odds, observed 109.08% over 7 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/12 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [The Thrill](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/12) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · The Thrill A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/12?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/12?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/12) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/12?window=all) Price · $30.00 · 30 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $27.00 from 20 items Observed RTP, 30d · 109.08% · 7 openings, odds method Variance · 2.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 18.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 76.2% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 7 openings · below min 30 days · 7 openings · below min since tracking started · 7 openings · below min -0.5% 111.8% 224.0% **Small sample.** 7 openings and 1.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/12?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/12?window=7d) | 7 | 109.08% ±114.3 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/12) | 7 | 109.08% ±114.3 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/12?window=all) | 7 | 109.08% ±114.3 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 7 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ P90 \| Death by Kitty (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-death-by-kitty-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $200 200 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [PP-Bizon \| Modern Hunter (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-modern-hunter-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $200 200 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [SG 553 \| Hazard Pay (Well-Worn) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-hazard-pay-well-worn) | 1 in 13 | $111 111 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 30.6% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [MAG-7 \| Counter Terrace (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-counter-terrace-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12 | $103 103 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 32.8% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-stained-field-tested) | 1 in 29 | $72.23 72.23 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Sticker \| jkaem (Foil) \| Cologne 2016 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-jkaem-foil-cologne-2016) | 1 in 44 | $44.89 44.89 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Galil AR \| Dusk Ruins (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-dusk-ruins-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $12.31 12.31 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.1% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [Souvenir MAC-10 \| Gold Brick (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mac-10-gold-brick-field-tested) | 1 in 19 | $10.57 10.57 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Katowice 2019 Minor Challengers (Holo-Foil) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/katowice-2019-minor-challengers-holo-foil) | 1 in 25 | $6.74 6.74 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-bengal-tiger-battle-scarred) | 1 in 15 | $6.28 6.28 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.6% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [Sticker \| Liquid (Gold) \| 2020 RMR sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-liquid-gold-2020-rmr) | 1 in 11 | $2.76 2.76 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.9% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [P2000 \| Panther Camo (Factory New) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-panther-camo-factory-new) | 1 in 10 | $1.39 1.39 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.5% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [Nova \| Gila (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-gila-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $1.21 1.21 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [Nova \| Walnut (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-walnut-field-tested) | 1 in 35 | $1.07 1.07 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Sticker \| Cerberus sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cerberus) | 1 in 58 | $0.57 0.57 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Sticker \| CR4ZY (Holo) \| Berlin 2019 sticker · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cr4zy-holo-berlin-2019) | 1 in 12 | $0.50 0.5 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| Spirit Board (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-spirit-board-well-worn) | 1 in 16 | $0.21 0.21 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [CZ75-Auto \| Circaetus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-circaetus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 174 | $0.19 0.19 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 1 | 0.0 | — | | [Sealed Graffiti \| Eco (Monarch Blue) graffiti · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-eco-monarch-blue) | 1 in 87 | $0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Sealed Graffiti \| Quickdraw (Battle Green) graffiti · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-quickdraw-battle-green) | 10.3% | $0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 1 | 0.7 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=12`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=12) [CZ75-Auto | Circaetus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-circaetus-battle-scarred) Hidden $30.00 30 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.19 0.19 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-05 18:09 UTC [Nova | Gila (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-gila-factory-new) Hidden $30.00 30 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.21 1.21 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-05 18:09 UTC [MAG-7 | Counter Terrace (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-counter-terrace-minimal-wear) Hidden $30.00 30 CSGOBIG\_COIN $103 103 CSGOBIG\_COIN 3.44x 2026-11-05 18:09 UTC [Galil AR | Dusk Ruins (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-dusk-ruins-field-tested) Hidden $30.00 30 CSGOBIG\_COIN $12.31 12.31 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.41x 2026-11-05 18:09 UTC [P2000 | Panther Camo (Factory New) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-panther-camo-factory-new) [Skander](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/Skander) $30.00 30 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.39 1.39 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-05 18:09 UTC [SG 553 | Hazard Pay (Well-Worn) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-hazard-pay-well-worn) Hidden $30.00 30 CSGOBIG\_COIN $111 111 CSGOBIG\_COIN 3.69x 2026-11-05 18:09 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Quickdraw (Battle Green) graffiti · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-quickdraw-battle-green) Hidden $30.00 30 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-05 09:18 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $30.00 | 90.00% | 20 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Covert 1.0% mil spec 7.3% Classified 7.4% #4b69ff 15.5% covert 3.4% #D32CE6 2.3% restricted 5.2% #B0C3D9 15.5% #d32ce6 6.9% #EB4B4B 9.2% #87c7ff 9.7% Mythical 5.7% Common 2.9% #8847FF 8.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt