---
title: "1% Wild Jungle case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "1% Wild Jungle ($150.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds, observed 18.60% over 19 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/120
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:11Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [1% Wild Jungle](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/120)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · 1% Wild Jungle

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/120?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/120?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/120) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/120?window=all)

Price · $150.00 · 150 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $135.00 from 12 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 18.60% · 19 openings, odds method

Variance · 62.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 100 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 93.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 2 openings · below min

7 days · 18 openings · below min

30 days · 19 openings · below min

since tracking started · 19 openings · below min

-0.5% 546.5% 1093.5%

**Small sample.** 19 openings and 0.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/120?window=24h) | 2 | 1.21% ±1091.5 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/120?window=7d) | 18 | 13.90% ±363.8 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/120) | 19 | 18.60% ±354.1 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/120?window=all) | 19 | 18.60% ±354.1 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 19 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $11.9K 11,883 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 88.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $155 155 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.9% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.75× |
| [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $48.36 48.36 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.2% | 4 | 1.7 | 2.34× |
| [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Tiger Moth (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-tiger-moth-factory-new) | 16.5% | $7.49 7.49 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.9% | 1 | 3.1 | 0.32× |
| [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Monster Call (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-monster-call-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $5.97 5.97 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [G3SG1 \| Orange Kimono (Field-Tested) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-orange-kimono-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $2.21 2.21 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Jungle (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-jungle-battle-scarred) | 10.5% | $1.96 1.96 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 2 | 2.0 | 1.00× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Chemical Green (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-chemical-green-well-worn) | 13.5% | $1.95 1.95 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 4 | 2.6 | 1.56× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Jungle (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-jungle-field-tested) | 15.0% | $1.67 1.67 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 4 | 2.8 | 1.40× |
| [Negev \| Nuclear Waste (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-nuclear-waste-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $1.41 1.41 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [R8 Revolver \| Inlay (Minimal Wear) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-inlay-minimal-wear) | 12.0% | $0.07 0.07 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 1 | 2.3 | 0.44× |
| [Nova \| Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-well-worn) | 1 in 67 | $0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=120`, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=120)

[Five-SeveN | Jungle (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-jungle-field-tested) Hidden $150 150 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.67 1.67 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 08:09 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Chemical Green (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-chemical-green-well-worn) [Opsisinsanity](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/Opsisinsanity) $150 150 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.95 1.95 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 08:09 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Jungle (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-jungle-field-tested) Hidden $150 150 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.67 1.67 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-08 04:09 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Inlay (Minimal Wear) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-inlay-minimal-wear) Hidden $150 150 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.07 0.07 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-08 04:09 UTC

[AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-minimal-wear) Hidden $150 150 CSGOBIG\_COIN $48.36 48.36 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.32x 2026-11-08 04:09 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Jungle (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-jungle-battle-scarred) Hidden $150 150 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.96 1.96 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-08 04:09 UTC

[StatTrak™ SG 553 | Tiger Moth (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-tiger-moth-factory-new) Hidden $150 150 CSGOBIG\_COIN $7.49 7.49 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-07 02:29 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Jungle (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-jungle-battle-scarred) Hidden $150 150 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.96 1.96 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-07 02:29 UTC

[★ Falchion Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-forest-ddpat-factory-new) Hidden $150 150 CSGOBIG\_COIN $155 155 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.03x 2026-11-07 02:29 UTC

[AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-minimal-wear) Hidden $150 150 CSGOBIG\_COIN $48.36 48.36 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.32x 2026-11-07 02:29 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $150 | 90.00% | 12 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed legendary 1.0% covert 15.0% restricted 24.0% #B0C3D9 3.0% consumer 27.0% industrial 18.0% Common 12.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
