--- title: "Splashdown case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Splashdown ($48.52) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.04% from 19 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1200 rendered: 2026-11-11T14:29Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Splashdown](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1200) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Splashdown A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1200?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1200?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1200) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1200?window=all) Price · $48.52 · 48.52 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.04% · EV $43.69 from 19 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 32.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 15.2% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 74.8% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1200?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1200?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1200) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1200?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 19 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [EMS Katowice 2014 Legends other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/ems-katowice-2014-legends) | 1 in 10,000 | $25K 25,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $8,840 8,840 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $2,105 2,105 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,132 1,132 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $877 877 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Boreal Forest (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-boreal-forest-well-worn) | 1 in 1,052 | $650 650 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $606 606 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 1,056 | $262 262 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Freehand (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-freehand-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $149 149 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 23.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $98.92 98.92 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 18.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-golden-coil-battle-scarred) | 10.0% | $60.04 60.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir M4A4 \| Radiation Hazard (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a4-radiation-hazard-well-worn) | 12.4% | $35.83 35.83 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| The Fuschia Is Now (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-the-fuschia-is-now-field-tested) | 11.3% | $24.88 24.88 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Natus Vincere (Foil) \| Boston 2018 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-foil-boston-2018) | 10.1% | $18.15 18.15 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-disco-tech-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12 | $13.97 13.97 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [D Squadron Officer \| NZSAS agent · distinguished](https://gambatracker.com/items/d-squadron-officer-nzsas) | 1 in 14 | $11.17 11.17 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Dual Berettas \| Melondrama (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-melondrama-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $9.10 9.1 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [CZ75-Auto \| Xiangliu (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-battle-scarred) | 1 in 26 | $7.42 7.42 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Negev \| Power Loader (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-power-loader-factory-new) | 16.6% | $6.11 6.11 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1200`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1200) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $48.52 | 90.04% | 19 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed base 0.0% extraordinary 0.0% covert 24.9% covert knife 0.1% classified 8.8% Immortal 0.1% Mil Spec 12.4% Classified 11.3% exotic 10.1% distinguished 7.3% Legendary 4.5% #d32ce6 3.8% #8847ff 16.6% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.04 on average: an expected loss of $9.96 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt