--- title: "Seaside case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Seaside ($42.55) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.03% from 14 items with odds, observed 87.69% over 6 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1201 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:20Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Seaside](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1201) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Seaside A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1201?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1201?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1201) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1201?window=all) Price · $42.55 · 42.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.03% · EV $38.31 from 14 items Observed RTP, 30d · 87.69% · 6 openings, odds method Variance · 33.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 18.5% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 81.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 6 openings · below min 30 days · 6 openings · below min since tracking started · 6 openings · below min -0.5% 274.0% 548.5% **Small sample.** 6 openings and 1.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1201?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1201?window=7d) | 6 | 87.69% ±459.9 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1201) | 6 | 87.69% ±459.9 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1201?window=all) | 6 | 87.69% ±459.9 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 2,000 | $8,723 8,723 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 1,000 | $4,604 4,604 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-1) | 1 in 1,086 | $651 651 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Stained (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-stained-well-worn) | 1 in 1,092 | $263 263 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Freehand (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-freehand-battle-scarred) | 1 in 137 | $149 149 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Krakow 2017 Nuke Souvenir Package container · 6](https://gambatracker.com/items/krakow-2017-nuke-souvenir-package) | 1 in 13 | $99.00 99 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 19.9% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-factory-new) | 1 in 10 | $60.18 60.18 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 15.2% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [StatTrak™ XM1014 \| Incinegator (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-incinegator-minimal-wear) | 12.4% | $35.86 35.86 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.6% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Bright Water (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-bright-water-field-tested) | 12.5% | $24.89 24.89 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.1% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [Civil Protection Pin pin · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/civil-protection-pin) | 11.1% | $18.16 18.16 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.3% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-well-worn) | 1 in 10 | $13.98 13.98 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.5% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [Nova \| Antique (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-antique-factory-new) | 1 in 12 | $11.18 11.18 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.4% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [Sticker \| fox (Foil) \| MLG Columbus 2016 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fox-foil-mlg-columbus-2016) | 1 in 20 | $9.11 9.11 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [CZ75-Auto \| Xiangliu (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-battle-scarred) | 23.0% | $7.42 7.42 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.5% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.45× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1201`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1201) [Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-factory-new) Hidden $42.55 42.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN $60.18 60.18 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.41x 2026-11-10 10:28 UTC [M4A4 | The Emperor (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-well-worn) Hidden $42.55 42.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN $13.98 13.98 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.33x 2026-11-10 10:28 UTC [StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-incinegator-minimal-wear) Hidden $42.55 42.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN $35.86 35.86 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.84x 2026-11-10 10:28 UTC [Krakow 2017 Nuke Souvenir Package container · 6](https://gambatracker.com/items/krakow-2017-nuke-souvenir-package) Hidden $42.55 42.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN $99.00 99 CSGOBIG\_COIN 2.33x 2026-11-09 11:20 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-battle-scarred) Hidden $42.55 42.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN $7.42 7.42 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.17x 2026-11-09 11:20 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-battle-scarred) [da ander](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/da%20ander) $42.55 42.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN $7.42 7.42 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.17x 2026-11-09 11:20 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $42.55 | 90.03% | 14 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed 6 7.7% covert 9.9% knifes 0.7% classified 30.1% restricted 12.5% extraordinary 11.1% #D32CE6 5.0% #d32ce6 23.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.03 on average: an expected loss of $9.97 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt