--- title: "Floatie case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Floatie ($73.55) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.04% from 13 items with odds, observed 47.56% over 4 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1202 rendered: 2026-11-11T14:08Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Floatie](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1202) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Floatie A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1202?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1202?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1202) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1202?window=all) Price · $73.55 · 73.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.04% · EV $66.23 from 13 items Observed RTP, 30d · 47.56% · 4 openings, odds method Variance · 28.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 22.7% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 77.3% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 4 openings · below min 30 days · 4 openings · below min since tracking started · 4 openings · below min -0.5% 285.3% 571.0% **Small sample.** 4 openings and 0.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1202?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1202?window=7d) | 4 | 47.56% ±522.6 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1202) | 4 | 47.56% ±522.6 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1202?window=all) | 4 | 47.56% ±522.6 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 1,000 | $10.9K 10,899 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 16.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) | 1 in 1,000 | $5,254 5,254 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Medusa (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $2,700 2,700 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Night (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-night-well-worn) | 1 in 1,093 | $748 748 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-forest-ddpat-well-worn) | 1 in 1,005 | $275 275 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $148 148 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 20.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-damascus-steel-minimal-wear) | 13.2% | $96.68 96.68 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 19.3% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [StatTrak™ XM1014 \| Tranquility (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-tranquility-factory-new) | 15.5% | $55.58 55.58 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.0% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [Sticker \| fer \| Cologne 2015 sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fer-cologne-2015) | 14.5% | $33.30 33.3 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.3% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [Souvenir AK-47 \| Safety Net (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-safety-net-minimal-wear) | 11.8% | $22.81 22.81 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.1% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [CZ75-Auto \| Poison Dart (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-poison-dart-well-worn) | 1 in 15 | $16.57 16.57 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [AWP \| Sun in Leo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-sun-in-leo-field-tested) | 1 in 19 | $12.87 12.87 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Souvenir AK-47 \| Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) | 23.5% | $10.22 10.22 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.6% | 2 | 0.9 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1202`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1202) [Souvenir AK-47 | Safety Net (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-safety-net-minimal-wear) Hidden $73.55 73.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN $22.81 22.81 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.31x 2026-11-05 11:19 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-damascus-steel-minimal-wear) Hidden $73.55 73.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN $96.68 96.68 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.31x 2026-11-05 11:19 UTC [Souvenir AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $73.55 73.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN $10.22 10.22 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.14x 2026-11-05 11:19 UTC [Souvenir AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $73.55 73.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN $10.22 10.22 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.14x 2026-11-05 11:19 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $73.55 | 90.04% | 13 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 9.3% gold 0.1% covert knife 13.3% #d32ee6 15.5% #4B69FF 14.5% restricted 11.8% #4b69ff 6.8% industrial 5.2% Uncommon 23.5% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.04 on average: an expected loss of $9.96 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt