--- title: "Snapshot case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Snapshot ($152.33) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.05% from 15 items with odds, observed 41.27% over 3 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1203 rendered: 2026-11-11T15:13Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Snapshot](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1203) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Snapshot A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1203?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1203?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1203) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1203?window=all) Price · $152.33 · 152 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.05% · EV $137.17 from 15 items Observed RTP, 30d · 41.27% · 3 openings, odds method Variance · 14.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 15.8% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 84.2% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 30 days · 3 openings · below min since tracking started · 3 openings · below min -0.5% 237.8% 476.0% **Small sample.** 3 openings and 0.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1203?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1203?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1203) | 3 | 41.27% ±434.3 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1203?window=all) | 3 | 41.27% ±434.3 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| Vox Eminor (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vox-eminor-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 5,000 | $28.6K 28,579 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $14.7K 14,702 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $6,241 6,241 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| The Prince (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $2,784 2,784 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-minimal-wear) | 1 in 667 | $1,666 1,666 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $857 857 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 19.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-forest-ddpat-field-tested) | 12.2% | $282 282 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 25.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 16.6% | $148 148 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 17.8% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Spruce DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) gloves · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-spruce-ddpat-battle-scarred) | 12.5% | $94.55 94.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [FAMAS \| Afterimage (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-afterimage-factory-new) | 12.0% | $52.66 52.66 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Sticker \| G2 Esports (Foil) \| Cologne 2016 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-g2-esports-foil-cologne-2016) | 11.1% | $31.46 31.46 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.6% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [Sticker \| FalleN \| Cologne 2015 sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fallen-cologne-2015) | 1 in 10 | $21.31 21.31 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Sticker \| Edward (Foil) \| Cologne 2016 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-edward-foil-cologne-2016) | 1 in 12 | $15.52 15.52 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Collectible Pins Capsule Series 2 container · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/collectible-pins-capsule-series-2) | 1 in 15 | $12.00 12 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [AWP \| Fever Dream (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $9.53 9.53 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.5% | 1 | 0.2 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1203`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1203) [Sticker | G2 Esports (Foil) | Cologne 2016 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-g2-esports-foil-cologne-2016) Hidden $152 152 CSGOBIG\_COIN $31.46 31.46 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.21x 2026-11-04 15:59 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) Hidden $152 152 CSGOBIG\_COIN $148 148 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.97x 2026-11-04 15:59 UTC [AWP | Fever Dream (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-minimal-wear) Hidden $152 152 CSGOBIG\_COIN $9.53 9.53 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-04 15:59 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $152 | 90.05% | 15 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.1% covert 3.5% covert knife 12.2% Covert 16.6% #EB4B4B 12.5% classified 19.7% #D32CE6 19.2% #4B69FF 9.7% #B0C3D9 6.6% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.05 on average: an expected loss of $9.95 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt