--- title: "Showtime case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Showtime ($210.55) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.04% from 18 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1204 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:37Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Showtime](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1204) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Showtime A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1204?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1204?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1204) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1204?window=all) Price · $210.55 · 211 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.04% · EV $189.59 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 33.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 26.8% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 73.2% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1204?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1204?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1204) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1204?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| Titan (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 10,000 | $79.5K 79,533 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 10,000 | $61K 61,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [EMS Katowice 2014 Legends other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/ems-katowice-2014-legends) | 1 in 3,333 | $26.7K 26,651 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Team Dignitas (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 3,333 | $22.2K 22,209 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $12K 11,993 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $7,403 7,403 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $3,951 3,951 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $1,562 1,562 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $1,195 1,195 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 400 | $918 918 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 15 | $498 498 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 17.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-forest-ddpat-well-worn) | 19.4% | $246 246 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 25.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-well-worn) | 21.1% | $148 148 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 16.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [MAG-7 \| Counter Terrace (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-counter-terrace-minimal-wear) | 12.7% | $103 103 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 10.3% | $68.43 68.43 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| device (Foil) \| MLG Columbus 2016 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-device-foil-mlg-columbus-2016) | 1 in 11 | $41.11 41.11 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Midnight Storm (Well-Worn) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-midnight-storm-well-worn) | 1 in 14 | $29.01 29.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [MAC-10 \| Graven (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-graven-well-worn) | 13.4% | $21.38 21.38 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1204`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1204) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $211 | 90.04% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.0% base 0.0% remarkable 0.0% covert 7.1% extraordinary 0.1% classified 21.3% covert knife 19.4% #4b69ff 12.7% gold 10.3% #D32CE6 8.8% Industrial Grade 6.9% restricted 13.4% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.04 on average: an expected loss of $9.96 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt