--- title: "Sandlot case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Sandlot ($124.33) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 14 items with odds, observed 35.69% over 13 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1205 rendered: 2026-11-11T15:15Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Sandlot](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1205) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Sandlot A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1205?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1205?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1205) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1205?window=all) Price · $124.33 · 124 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $111.88 from 14 items Observed RTP, 30d · 35.69% · 13 openings, odds method Variance · 45.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.5% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 89.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 7 openings · below min 30 days · 13 openings · below min since tracking started · 13 openings · below min -0.5% 267.3% 535.0% **Small sample.** 13 openings and 1.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1205?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1205?window=7d) | 7 | 37.40% ±496.9 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1205) | 13 | 35.69% ±364.6 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1205?window=all) | 13 | 35.69% ±364.6 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 13 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| Team LDLC.com (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 1,000 | $22.2K 22,214 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 19.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $11.8K 11,845 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $6,241 6,241 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir M4A1-S \| Knight (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $3,553 3,553 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $1,939 1,939 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $1,088 1,088 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-safari-mesh-well-worn) | 1 in 1,050 | $375 375 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 1,014 | $222 222 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Jet Set (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-battle-scarred) | 1 in 11 | $147 147 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.3% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.82× | | [MP9 \| Dark Age (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-dark-age-minimal-wear) | 13.1% | $108 108 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.6% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.59× | | [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-stained-field-tested) | 12.3% | $77.21 77.21 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.5% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× | | [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Fuel Injector (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-fuel-injector-factory-new) | 11.9% | $51.44 51.44 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.5% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× | | [Sticker \| kNgV- (Foil) \| Krakow 2017 sticker · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kngv-foil-krakow-2017) | 11.8% | $35.53 35.53 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.7% | 3 | 1.5 | 1.96× | | [Souvenir AK-47 \| Green Laminate (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-green-laminate-well-worn) | 40.5% | $26.95 26.95 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.7% | 8 | 5.3 | 1.52× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1205`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1205) [AK-47 | Jet Set (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-battle-scarred) Hidden $124 124 CSGOBIG\_COIN $147 147 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.18x 2026-11-10 06:49 UTC [Sticker | kNgV- (Foil) | Krakow 2017 sticker · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kngv-foil-krakow-2017) Hidden $124 124 CSGOBIG\_COIN $35.53 35.53 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.29x 2026-11-10 06:49 UTC [Souvenir AK-47 | Green Laminate (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-green-laminate-well-worn) Hidden $124 124 CSGOBIG\_COIN $26.95 26.95 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.22x 2026-11-10 06:49 UTC [Souvenir AK-47 | Green Laminate (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-green-laminate-well-worn) [BUYhighSELLlow](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/BUYhighSELLlow) $124 124 CSGOBIG\_COIN $26.95 26.95 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.22x 2026-11-10 06:49 UTC [Souvenir AK-47 | Green Laminate (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-green-laminate-well-worn) Hidden $124 124 CSGOBIG\_COIN $26.95 26.95 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.22x 2026-11-06 03:49 UTC [Souvenir AK-47 | Green Laminate (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-green-laminate-well-worn) Hidden $124 124 CSGOBIG\_COIN $26.95 26.95 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.22x 2026-11-06 03:49 UTC [Sticker | kNgV- (Foil) | Krakow 2017 sticker · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kngv-foil-krakow-2017) [POTATO](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/POTATO) $124 124 CSGOBIG\_COIN $35.53 35.53 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.29x 2026-11-06 03:49 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $124 | 89.99% | 14 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed remarkable 0.1% contraband 0.1% covert 0.6% Classified 0.1% #EB4B4B 0.1% Immortal 0.1% classified 9.4% mil spec 53.5% covert knife 12.3% Legendary 11.9% #8847FF 11.8% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt