--- title: "Bullseye case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Bullseye ($35.98) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.07% from 13 items with odds, observed 65.38% over 4 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1206 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:11Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Bullseye](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1206) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Bullseye A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1206?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1206?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1206) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1206?window=all) Price · $35.98 · 35.98 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.07% · EV $32.41 from 13 items Observed RTP, 30d · 65.38% · 4 openings, odds method Variance · 8.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 24.6% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 75.4% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 4 openings · below min 30 days · 4 openings · below min since tracking started · 4 openings · below min -0.5% 172.3% 345.0% **Small sample.** 4 openings and 1.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1206?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1206?window=7d) | 4 | 65.38% ±278.8 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1206) | 4 | 65.38% ±278.8 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1206?window=all) | 4 | 65.38% ±278.8 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 1,000 | $3,000 3,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,102 | $947 947 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir M4A4 \| Urban DDPAT (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a4-urban-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 1,054 | $290 290 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Titan (Foil) \| Cluj-Napoca 2015 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-foil-cluj-napoca-2015) | 1 in 99 | $147 147 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-safari-mesh-well-worn) | 1 in 10 | $93.17 93.17 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 28.5% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Sticker \| STYKO (Foil) \| Atlanta 2017 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-styko-foil-atlanta-2017) | 13.4% | $50.93 50.93 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 21.1% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Yellow Jacket (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-yellow-jacket-factory-new) | 12.4% | $30.26 30.26 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.5% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [SSG 08 \| Tropical Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · #5E98D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-tropical-storm-minimal-wear) | 11.4% | $20.30 20.3 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.2% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [AUG \| Wings (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-wings-factory-new) | 1 in 10 | $14.87 14.87 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [StatTrak™ P90 \| Shapewood (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-shapewood-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12 | $11.47 11.47 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [London 2018 Returning Challengers Autograph Capsule container · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/london-2018-returning-challengers-autograph-capsule) | 1 in 14 | $9.04 9.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Autograph Capsule \| Fnatic \| Cluj-Napoca 2015 other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/autograph-capsule-fnatic-cluj-napoca-2015) | 1 in 17 | $7.17 7.17 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.3% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [CS:GO Weapon Case 3 other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/cs-go-weapon-case-3) | 20.3% | $5.74 5.74 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.6% | 1 | 0.8 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1206`, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1206) [CS:GO Weapon Case 3 other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/cs-go-weapon-case-3) Hidden $35.98 35.98 CSGOBIG\_COIN $5.74 5.74 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.16x 2026-11-07 10:29 UTC [Autograph Capsule | Fnatic | Cluj-Napoca 2015 other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/autograph-capsule-fnatic-cluj-napoca-2015) Hidden $35.98 35.98 CSGOBIG\_COIN $7.17 7.17 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.20x 2026-11-07 10:29 UTC [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-yellow-jacket-factory-new) Hidden $35.98 35.98 CSGOBIG\_COIN $30.26 30.26 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.84x 2026-11-07 10:29 UTC [Sticker | STYKO (Foil) | Atlanta 2017 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-styko-foil-atlanta-2017) [tody](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/tody) $35.98 35.98 CSGOBIG\_COIN $50.93 50.93 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.42x 2026-11-07 10:29 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $35.98 | 90.07% | 13 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.1% covert knife 10.0% industrial 0.1% exotic 1.0% #D32CE6 13.4% #d32ee6 12.4% #5E98D9 11.4% mil spec 10.0% classified 8.4% #B0C3D9 33.2% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.07 on average: an expected loss of $9.93 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt