--- title: "Cloudburst case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Cloudburst ($67.33) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.06% from 12 items with odds, observed 50.69% over 2 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1209 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:11Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Cloudburst](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1209) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Cloudburst A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1209?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1209?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1209) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1209?window=all) Price · $67.33 · 67.33 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.06% · EV $60.64 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 50.69% · 2 openings, odds method Variance · 9.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 25.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 75.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 2 openings · below min 30 days · 2 openings · below min since tracking started · 2 openings · below min -0.5% 236.3% 473.0% **Small sample.** 2 openings and 0.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1209?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1209?window=7d) | 2 | 50.69% ±421.6 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1209) | 2 | 50.69% ±421.6 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1209?window=all) | 2 | 50.69% ±421.6 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 2,000 | $6,012 6,012 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 1,000 | $4,264 4,264 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 1,000 | $2,103 2,103 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 1,092 | $720 720 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Freehand (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-freehand-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,058 | $272 272 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Freehand (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-freehand-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10 | $149 149 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 24.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Sticker \| HellRaisers (Foil) \| Katowice 2015 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-foil-katowice-2015) | 14.7% | $97.21 97.21 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 23.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-factory-new) | 16.6% | $56.60 56.6 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 15.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Sticker \| MSL (Foil) \| Boston 2018 sticker · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-msl-foil-boston-2018) | 14.7% | $34.13 34.13 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.3% | 2 | 0.3 | — | | [StatTrak™ P250 \| Red Rock (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-red-rock-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12 | $23.39 23.39 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [P250 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $16.94 16.94 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [P2000 \| Grassland Leaves (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-grassland-leaves-minimal-wear) | 28.3% | $13.14 13.14 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.1% | 0 | 0.6 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1209`, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1209) [Sticker | MSL (Foil) | Boston 2018 sticker · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-msl-foil-boston-2018) Hidden $67.33 67.33 CSGOBIG\_COIN $34.13 34.13 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.51x 2026-11-09 13:49 UTC [Sticker | MSL (Foil) | Boston 2018 sticker · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-msl-foil-boston-2018) Hidden $67.33 67.33 CSGOBIG\_COIN $34.13 34.13 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.51x 2026-11-09 13:49 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $67.33 | 90.06% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 26.8% gold 0.1% covert knife 0.1% #D32CE6 14.7% #8847FF 14.7% restricted 8.6% classified 6.7% industrial 28.3% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.06 on average: an expected loss of $9.94 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt