--- title: "Crimson Bloodlust case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Crimson Bloodlust ($150.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds, observed 66.39% over 6 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/121 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:35Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Crimson Bloodlust](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/121) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Crimson Bloodlust A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/121?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/121?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/121) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/121?window=all) Price · $150.00 · 150 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $135.00 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 66.39% · 6 openings, odds method Variance · 35.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 27.3% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 60.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 6 openings · below min 30 days · 6 openings · below min since tracking started · 6 openings · below min -0.5% 270.8% 542.0% **Small sample.** 6 openings and 1.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/121?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/121?window=7d) | 6 | 66.39% ±475.2 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/121) | 6 | 66.39% ±475.2 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/121?window=all) | 6 | 66.39% ±475.2 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $28K 27,995 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 20.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 12.1% | $322 322 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 28.9% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-autotronic-minimal-wear) | 15.1% | $260 260 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 29.2% | 1 | 0.9 | — | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $217 217 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 14.6% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $158 158 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $25.66 25.66 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Sticker \| Imperial Esports (Gold) \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-imperial-esports-gold-antwerp-2022) | 16.6% | $11.70 11.7 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.4% | 0 | 1.0 | — | | [P250 \| Muertos (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-muertos-battle-scarred) | 1 in 17 | $5.72 5.72 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [Sticker \| Quantum Bellator Fire (Holo) \| Boston 2018 sticker · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-quantum-bellator-fire-holo-boston-2018) | 1 in 66 | $5.29 5.29 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 1 | 0.1 | — | | [SG 553 \| Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-candy-apple-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $4.21 4.21 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Crimson Tsunami (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-crimson-tsunami-field-tested) | 10.6% | $1.87 1.87 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 2 | 0.6 | — | | [R8 Revolver \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crimson-web-field-tested) | 13.6% | $0.14 0.14 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.8 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=121`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=121) [StatTrak™ Galil AR | Crimson Tsunami (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-crimson-tsunami-field-tested) Hidden $150 150 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.87 1.87 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 04:50 UTC [Sticker | Quantum Bellator Fire (Holo) | Boston 2018 sticker · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-quantum-bellator-fire-holo-boston-2018) Hidden $150 150 CSGOBIG\_COIN $5.29 5.29 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-10 04:50 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $150 150 CSGOBIG\_COIN $322 322 CSGOBIG\_COIN 2.15x 2026-11-10 04:50 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Autotronic (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-autotronic-minimal-wear) Hidden $150 150 CSGOBIG\_COIN $260 260 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.74x 2026-11-10 04:50 UTC [StatTrak™ Galil AR | Crimson Tsunami (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-crimson-tsunami-field-tested) Hidden $150 150 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.87 1.87 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 04:50 UTC [P250 | Muertos (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-muertos-battle-scarred) [wankywobbles](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/wankywobbles) $150 150 CSGOBIG\_COIN $5.72 5.72 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-10 04:50 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $150 | 90.00% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 7.7% covert knife 27.2% #ffd700 9.1% extraordinary 16.6% classified 6.1% #8847FF 1.5% industrial 7.6% restricted 10.6% mil spec 13.6% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt