--- title: "Jadefall case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Jadefall ($55.87) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.92% from 15 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1210 rendered: 2026-11-11T15:39Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Jadefall](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1210) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Jadefall A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1210?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1210?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1210) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1210?window=all) Price · $55.87 · 55.87 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 89.92% · EV $50.24 from 15 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 29.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 15.3% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 84.7% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1210?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1210?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1210) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1210?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 1,000 | $7,903 7,903 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 15.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 1,000 | $4,604 4,604 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 667 | $2,000 2,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-field-tested) | 1 in 1,050 | $943 943 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Freehand (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-freehand-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,003 | $288 288 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P2000 \| Ocean Foam (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ocean-foam-factory-new) | 1 in 23 | $147 147 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Keyd Stars (Foil) \| Katowice 2015 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-keyd-stars-foil-katowice-2015) | 10.3% | $93.16 93.16 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 19.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-case-hardened-factory-new) | 14.0% | $50.91 50.91 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 14.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Yellow Jacket (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-yellow-jacket-factory-new) | 12.1% | $30.26 30.26 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 11.0% | $20.29 20.29 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Team Dignitas \| Cluj-Napoca 2015 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-cluj-napoca-2015) | 1 in 10 | $14.86 14.86 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ P90 \| Shapewood (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-shapewood-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12 | $11.47 11.47 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [London 2018 Returning Challengers Autograph Capsule container · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/london-2018-returning-challengers-autograph-capsule) | 1 in 15 | $9.04 9.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AUG \| Torque (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-torque-minimal-wear) | 1 in 18 | $7.16 7.16 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [CS:GO Weapon Case 3 other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/cs-go-weapon-case-3) | 17.5% | $5.74 5.74 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1210`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1210) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $55.87 | 89.92% | 15 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.4% classified 12.6% #D32CE6 10.3% restricted 30.7% #d32ee6 12.1% high 9.6% #B0C3D9 24.2% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.92 on average: an expected loss of $10.08 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt