--- title: "Gnome case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Gnome ($275.22) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.02% from 17 items with odds, observed 167.48% over 4 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1211 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:25Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Gnome](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1211) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Gnome A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1211?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1211?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1211) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1211?window=all) Price · $275.22 · 275 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.02% · EV $247.76 from 17 items Observed RTP, 30d · 167.48% · 4 openings, odds method Variance · 75.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 182 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 88.1% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 4 openings · below min 30 days · 4 openings · below min since tracking started · 4 openings · below min -0.5% 510.5% 1021.5% **Small sample.** 4 openings and 0.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1211?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1211?window=7d) | 4 | 167.48% ±853.6 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1211) | 4 | 167.48% ±853.6 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1211?window=all) | 4 | 167.48% ±853.6 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 1,000 | $68K 68,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 27.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $26.8K 26,800 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $14.5K 14,457 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $9,104 9,104 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 667 | $7,228 7,228 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Field-Tested) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-field-tested) | 1 in 500 | $3,980 3,980 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $2,190 2,190 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $1,765 1,765 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.6% | 1 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 200 | $1,639 1,639 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 113 | $975 975 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Nomad Knife \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $290 290 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.5% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Lore (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-lore-field-tested) | 13.4% | $147 147 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.0% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-starlight-protector-factory-new) | 16.3% | $92.00 92 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.0% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [UMP-45 \| Wild Child (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-wild-child-factory-new) | 17.2% | $49.57 49.57 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.4% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [AK-47 \| Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-battle-scarred) | 16.8% | $29.63 29.63 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.0% | 2 | 0.7 | — | | [Souvenir FAMAS \| Colony (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-famas-colony-field-tested) | 11.5% | $19.88 19.88 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.9% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) | 12.9% | $14.51 14.51 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.8% | 0 | 0.5 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1211`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ M9 Bayonet | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-fade-factory-new) Hidden $275 275 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1,765 1,765 CSGOBIG\_COIN 6.41x 2026-11-08 12:09 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1211) [AK-47 | Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-battle-scarred) Hidden $275 275 CSGOBIG\_COIN $29.63 29.63 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.11x 2026-11-09 12:59 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-fade-factory-new) Hidden $275 275 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1,765 1,765 CSGOBIG\_COIN 6.41x 2026-11-08 12:09 UTC [AK-47 | Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-battle-scarred) Hidden $275 275 CSGOBIG\_COIN $29.63 29.63 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.11x 2026-11-08 12:09 UTC [Souvenir FAMAS | Colony (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-famas-colony-field-tested) Hidden $275 275 CSGOBIG\_COIN $19.88 19.88 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-08 12:09 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $275 | 90.02% | 17 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.7% extraordinary 0.1% covert 31.8% covert knife 9.0% pink 17.2% mil spec 16.8% #B0C3D9 11.5% Rare 12.9% best hit $1,765 (6.41x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.02 on average: an expected loss of $9.98 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt