--- title: "Shipment case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Shipment ($93.55) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.05% from 15 items with odds, observed 66.10% over 4 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1215 rendered: 2026-11-11T14:59Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Shipment](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1215) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Shipment A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1215?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1215?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1215) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1215?window=all) Price · $93.55 · 93.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.05% · EV $84.24 from 15 items Observed RTP, 30d · 66.10% · 4 openings, odds method Variance · 7.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 21.2% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 64.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 4 openings · below min 30 days · 4 openings · below min since tracking started · 4 openings · below min -0.5% 166.3% 333.0% **Small sample.** 4 openings and 0.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1215?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1215?window=7d) | 4 | 66.10% ±266.3 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1215) | 4 | 66.10% ±266.3 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1215?window=all) | 4 | 66.10% ±266.3 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 2,000 | $7,688 7,688 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 2,000 | $5,635 5,635 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 1,000 | $3,460 3,460 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-minimal-wear) | 1 in 667 | $1,520 1,520 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 1,010 | $746 746 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $274 274 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 22.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-well-worn) | 13.8% | $148 148 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 24.3% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-forest-ddpat-field-tested) | 14.3% | $96.57 96.57 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 16.4% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Graven (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-graven-minimal-wear) | 14.7% | $55.55 55.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.7% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [Sticker \| fer \| Cologne 2015 sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fer-cologne-2015) | 12.7% | $33.30 33.3 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.0% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [Souvenir AK-47 \| Safety Net (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-safety-net-minimal-wear) | 10.3% | $22.81 22.81 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.8% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Sticker \| karrigan (Gold) \| Paris 2023 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-karrigan-gold-paris-2023) | 1 in 17 | $16.56 16.56 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Souvenir Glock-18 \| Ramese's Reach (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-rameses-reach-battle-scarred) | 1 in 22 | $12.85 12.85 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Half-Life: Alyx Collectible Pins Capsule container · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/half-life-alyx-collectible-pins-capsule) | 1 in 29 | $10.21 10.21 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.4% | 1 | 0.1 | — | | [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Steel Disruption (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-steel-disruption-minimal-wear) | 12.7% | $8.18 8.18 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.2% | 0 | 0.5 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1215`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1215) [AK-47 | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-well-worn) Hidden $93.55 93.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN $148 148 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.59x 2026-11-07 00:29 UTC [StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Graven (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-graven-minimal-wear) Hidden $93.55 93.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN $55.55 55.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.59x 2026-11-07 00:29 UTC [Half-Life: Alyx Collectible Pins Capsule container · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/half-life-alyx-collectible-pins-capsule) Hidden $93.55 93.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN $10.21 10.21 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.11x 2026-11-07 00:29 UTC [Sticker | fer | Cologne 2015 sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fer-cologne-2015) [tabb3n](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/tabb3n) $93.55 93.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN $33.30 33.3 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.36x 2026-11-07 00:29 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $93.55 | 90.05% | 15 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.4% sunny 0.1% #EB4B4B 12.9% classified 13.8% covert knife 14.3% Restricted 19.3% #4B69FF 12.7% restricted 23.0% #B0C3D9 3.5% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.05 on average: an expected loss of $9.95 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt