--- title: "Maekes case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Maekes ($203.79) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.98% from 9 items with odds, observed 0.47% over 18 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1219 rendered: 2026-11-11T15:40Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Maekes](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1219) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Maekes A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1219?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1219?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1219) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1219?window=all) Price · $203.79 · 204 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 89.98% · EV $183.38 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 0.47% · 18 openings, odds method Variance · 76.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 167 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 97.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 6 openings · below min 30 days · 18 openings · below min since tracking started · 18 openings · below min -0.5% 350.5% 701.5% **Small sample.** 18 openings and 0.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1219?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1219?window=7d) | 6 | 0.47% ±700.5 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1219) | 18 | 0.47% ±404.5 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1219?window=all) | 18 | 0.47% ±404.5 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 18 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| Reason Gaming (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 1,000 | $43K 42,972 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 23.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Natus Vincere (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 200 | $13.6K 13,550 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 36.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 250 | $9,947 9,947 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 21.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Souvenir MAG-7 \| Bulldozer (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-bulldozer-factory-new) | 1 in 133 | $2,200 2,200 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $1,900 1,900 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $1,066 1,066 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-monkey-business-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,111 | $43.00 43 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Stupid Banana (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-stupid-banana-foil) | 96.9% | $0.95 0.95 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.5% | 18 | 17.4 | 1.03× | | [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) | 1 in 10,000 | $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1219`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1219) [Sticker | Stupid Banana (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-stupid-banana-foil) Hidden $204 204 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.95 0.95 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-05 03:39 UTC [Sticker | Stupid Banana (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-stupid-banana-foil) Hidden $204 204 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.95 0.95 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-05 03:39 UTC [Sticker | Stupid Banana (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-stupid-banana-foil) Hidden $204 204 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.95 0.95 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-05 03:39 UTC [Sticker | Stupid Banana (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-stupid-banana-foil) [po0pie](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/po0pie) $204 204 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.95 0.95 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-05 03:39 UTC [Sticker | Stupid Banana (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-stupid-banana-foil) Hidden $204 204 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.95 0.95 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-05 03:39 UTC [Sticker | Stupid Banana (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-stupid-banana-foil) Hidden $204 204 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.95 0.95 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-05 03:39 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $204 | 89.98% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed remarkable 0.6% covert 1.7% restricted 0.8% classified 0.1% exotic 96.9% #B0C3D9 0.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.98 on average: an expected loss of $10.02 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt