--- title: "Ripe Harvest case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Ripe Harvest ($163.44) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.04% from 20 items with odds, observed 33.54% over 25 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1220 rendered: 2026-11-11T14:57Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Ripe Harvest](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1220) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Ripe Harvest A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1220?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1220?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1220) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1220?window=all) Price · $163.44 · 163 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.04% · EV $147.16 from 20 items Observed RTP, 30d · 33.54% · 25 openings, odds method Variance · 103.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 41 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.8% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 25 openings · below min 30 days · 25 openings · below min since tracking started · 25 openings · below min -0.5% 216.0% 432.5% **Small sample.** 25 openings and 0.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1220?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1220?window=7d) | 25 | 33.54% ±398.2 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1220) | 25 | 33.54% ±398.2 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1220?window=all) | 25 | 33.54% ±398.2 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 25 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus - 4x Reason (Factory New) weapon · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-4x-reason-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $140K 140,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [EMS Katowice 2014 Challengers other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/ems-katowice-2014-challengers) | 1 in 2,000 | $29.8K 29,839 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $14.3K 14,323 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $8,653 8,653 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) | 1 in 1,000 | $5,938 5,938 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-field-tested) | 1 in 667 | $3,655 3,655 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 500 | $2,059 2,059 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 400 | $1,417 1,417 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 66 | $981 981 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $290 290 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.3% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.19× | | [AWP \| Snake Camo (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-snake-camo-well-worn) | 10.1% | $147 147 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.1% | 2 | 2.5 | 0.79× | | [P250 \| Apep's Curse (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-apeps-curse-field-tested) | 12.2% | $92.05 92.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.6% | 1 | 3.0 | 0.33× | | [M4A4 \| In Living Color (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color-factory-new) | 13.8% | $49.70 49.7 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.7% | 2 | 3.4 | 0.58× | | [StatTrak™ Negev \| Loudmouth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-negev-loudmouth-minimal-wear) | 13.5% | $29.65 29.65 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.7% | 5 | 3.4 | 1.48× | | [StatTrak™ AUG \| Arctic Wolf (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-arctic-wolf-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $19.90 19.9 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.2% | 3 | 2.3 | 1.30× | | [SG 553 \| Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-factory-new) | 1 in 12 | $14.53 14.53 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.8% | 1 | 2.1 | 0.49× | | [StatTrak™ AUG \| Chameleon (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-chameleon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $11.20 11.2 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.5% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.13× | | [M4A4 \| Desert-Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desert-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 16 | $8.81 8.81 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.4% | 6 | 1.5 | 3.94× | | [AUG \| Daedalus (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-daedalus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 19 | $6.97 6.97 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.77× | | [Music Kit \| bbno$, u mad! music kit · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/music-kit-bbno-u-mad) | 1 in 18 | $5.57 5.57 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1220`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1220) [P250 | Apep's Curse (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-apeps-curse-field-tested) Hidden $163 163 CSGOBIG\_COIN $92.05 92.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.56x 2026-11-09 12:59 UTC [M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desert-strike-factory-new) Hidden $163 163 CSGOBIG\_COIN $8.81 8.81 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-09 12:59 UTC [StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-negev-loudmouth-minimal-wear) Hidden $163 163 CSGOBIG\_COIN $29.65 29.65 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.18x 2026-11-09 12:59 UTC [AUG | Daedalus (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-daedalus-minimal-wear) Hidden $163 163 CSGOBIG\_COIN $6.97 6.97 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-09 12:59 UTC [StatTrak™ AUG | Chameleon (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-chameleon-minimal-wear) Hidden $163 163 CSGOBIG\_COIN $11.20 11.2 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-09 12:59 UTC [M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desert-strike-factory-new) Hidden $163 163 CSGOBIG\_COIN $8.81 8.81 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-08 12:09 UTC [AWP | Snake Camo (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-snake-camo-well-worn) Hidden $163 163 CSGOBIG\_COIN $147 147 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.90x 2026-11-08 12:09 UTC [StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-negev-loudmouth-minimal-wear) Hidden $163 163 CSGOBIG\_COIN $29.65 29.65 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.18x 2026-11-08 12:09 UTC [M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color-factory-new) Hidden $163 163 CSGOBIG\_COIN $49.70 49.7 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.30x 2026-11-08 12:09 UTC [M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desert-strike-factory-new) Hidden $163 163 CSGOBIG\_COIN $8.81 8.81 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-08 12:09 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $163 | 90.04% | 20 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed #EB4B4B 6.7% base 0.1% contraband 0.1% covert 29.1% epic 0.1% mil spec 10.1% pink 20.4% restricted 22.7% Consumer Grade 5.2% high 5.5% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.04 on average: an expected loss of $9.96 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt