--- title: "Monster Lab case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Monster Lab ($7.33) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.09% from 11 items with odds, observed 60.72% over 28 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1225 rendered: 2026-11-11T14:58Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Monster Lab](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1225) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Monster Lab A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1225?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1225?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1225) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1225?window=all) Price · $7.33 · 7.33 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.09% · EV $6.60 from 11 items Observed RTP, 30d · 60.72% · 28 openings, odds method Variance · 6.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 11.1% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 73.2% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 26 openings · below min 30 days · 28 openings · below min since tracking started · 28 openings · below min -0.5% 80.3% 161.0% **Small sample.** 28 openings and 3.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1225?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1225?window=7d) | 26 | 63.96% ±96.5 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1225) | 28 | 60.72% ±92.9 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1225?window=all) | 28 | 60.72% ±92.9 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 28 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Bayonet knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet) | 1 in 10,000 | $203 203 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 68 | $150 150 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 33.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [StatTrak™ XM1014 \| Entombed (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-entombed-factory-new) | 1 in 10 | $18.81 18.81 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 27.5% | 4 | 2.7 | 1.48× | | [Little Kev \| The Professionals agent · exceptional](https://gambatracker.com/items/little-kev-the-professionals) | 15.7% | $8.08 8.08 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 19.2% | 1 | 4.4 | 0.23× | | [Sticker \| gxx- (Gold) \| Paris 2023 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gxx-gold-paris-2023) | 16.4% | $4.39 4.39 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.9% | 5 | 4.6 | 1.09× | | [StatTrak™ Negev \| Lionfish (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-negev-lionfish-factory-new) | 11.2% | $2.51 2.51 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.3% | 4 | 3.1 | 1.27× | | [Souvenir MAG-7 \| Copper Coated (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-copper-coated-well-worn) | 10.2% | $1.50 1.5 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.3% | 3 | 2.9 | 1.05× | | [SG 553 \| Triarch (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-triarch-minimal-wear) | 11.0% | $0.64 0.64 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.1% | 4 | 3.1 | 1.30× | | [Souvenir P250 \| Bone Mask (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p250-bone-mask-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $0.42 0.42 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.6% | 3 | 2.7 | 1.13× | | [Tec-9 \| Jambiya (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-jambiya-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12 | $0.27 0.27 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 2 | 2.3 | 0.86× | | [G3SG1 \| Keeping Tabs (Field-Tested) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-keeping-tabs-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $0.23 0.23 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.09× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1225`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1225) [Souvenir MAG-7 | Copper Coated (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-copper-coated-well-worn) Hidden $7.33 7.33 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.50 1.5 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.20x 2026-11-09 19:19 UTC [StatTrak™ Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-negev-lionfish-factory-new) Hidden $7.33 7.33 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.51 2.51 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.34x 2026-11-09 19:19 UTC [Souvenir MAG-7 | Copper Coated (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-copper-coated-well-worn) Hidden $7.33 7.33 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.50 1.5 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.20x 2026-11-09 19:19 UTC [StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-entombed-factory-new) Hidden $7.33 7.33 CSGOBIG\_COIN $18.81 18.81 CSGOBIG\_COIN 2.57x 2026-11-09 19:19 UTC [SG 553 | Triarch (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-triarch-minimal-wear) Hidden $7.33 7.33 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.64 0.64 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.09x 2026-11-09 19:19 UTC [Sticker | gxx- (Gold) | Paris 2023 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gxx-gold-paris-2023) [JGHD23YT](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/JGHD23YT) $7.33 7.33 CSGOBIG\_COIN $4.39 4.39 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.60x 2026-11-09 19:19 UTC [StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-entombed-factory-new) Hidden $7.33 7.33 CSGOBIG\_COIN $18.81 18.81 CSGOBIG\_COIN 2.57x 2026-11-09 16:49 UTC [StatTrak™ Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-negev-lionfish-factory-new) Hidden $7.33 7.33 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.51 2.51 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.34x 2026-11-09 16:49 UTC [Tec-9 | Jambiya (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-jambiya-minimal-wear) Hidden $7.33 7.33 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.27 0.27 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-09 16:49 UTC [G3SG1 | Keeping Tabs (Field-Tested) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-keeping-tabs-field-tested) Hidden $7.33 7.33 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.23 0.23 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-09 16:49 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $7.33 | 90.09% | 11 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 1.5% Classified 9.7% exceptional 15.7% extraordinary 16.4% Restricted 11.2% #4B69FF 10.2% Mythical 11.0% Consumer Grade 9.5% mil spec 8.3% Mil Spec 6.5% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.09 on average: an expected loss of $9.91 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt