--- title: "Reaper case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Reaper ($13.55) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.94% from 12 items with odds, observed 31.26% over 23 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1226 rendered: 2026-11-11T15:40Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Reaper](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1226) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Reaper A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1226?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1226?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1226) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1226?window=all) Price · $13.55 · 13.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 89.94% · EV $12.19 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 31.26% · 23 openings, odds method Variance · 13.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 55 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.1% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 1 openings · below min 7 days · 10 openings · below min 30 days · 23 openings · below min since tracking started · 23 openings · below min -0.5% 384.0% 768.5% **Small sample.** 23 openings and 0.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1226?window=24h) | 1 | 46.57% ±721.1 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1226?window=7d) | 10 | 42.11% ±228.0 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1226) | 23 | 31.26% ±150.4 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1226?window=all) | 23 | 31.26% ±150.4 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 29 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Karambit \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $649 649 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Stained (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-stained-minimal-wear) | 1 in 97 | $437 437 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 36.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $405 405 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 667 | $233 233 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $142 142 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Gut Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $82.24 82.24 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [M4A4 \| Temukau (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-minimal-wear) | 1 in 143 | $47.20 47.2 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [StatTrak™ Nova \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 11.9% | $22.30 22.3 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 21.8% | 3 | 3.4 | 0.87× | | [Sticker \| Lurker (Foil) sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lurker-foil) | 19.4% | $6.31 6.31 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.0% | 8 | 5.6 | 1.43× | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Blood Tiger (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-blood-tiger-minimal-wear) | 20.8% | $3.32 3.32 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.7% | 5 | 6.0 | 0.83× | | [Sticker \| es3tag (Holo) \| Rio 2022 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-es3tag-holo-rio-2022) | 22.2% | $1.74 1.74 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.2% | 8 | 6.5 | 1.24× | | [Nova \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 22.7% | $0.98 0.98 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.8% | 5 | 6.6 | 0.76× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1226`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1226) [Sticker | Lurker (Foil) sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lurker-foil) Hidden $13.55 13.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN $6.31 6.31 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.47x 2026-11-11 10:08 UTC [Sticker | Lurker (Foil) sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lurker-foil) Hidden $13.55 13.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN $6.31 6.31 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.47x 2026-11-10 04:59 UTC [Sticker | es3tag (Holo) | Rio 2022 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-es3tag-holo-rio-2022) Hidden $13.55 13.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.74 1.74 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.13x 2026-11-10 04:59 UTC [Sticker | Lurker (Foil) sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lurker-foil) Hidden $13.55 13.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN $6.31 6.31 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.47x 2026-11-10 04:59 UTC [Sticker | Lurker (Foil) sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lurker-foil) Hidden $13.55 13.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN $6.31 6.31 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.47x 2026-11-07 17:39 UTC [Sticker | es3tag (Holo) | Rio 2022 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-es3tag-holo-rio-2022) Hidden $13.55 13.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.74 1.74 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.13x 2026-11-06 22:59 UTC [StatTrak™ Nova | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-hyper-beast-field-tested) Hidden $13.55 13.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN $22.30 22.3 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.65x 2026-11-05 16:39 UTC [Nova | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-rust-coat-battle-scarred) Hidden $13.55 13.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.98 0.98 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-05 07:49 UTC [Sticker | es3tag (Holo) | Rio 2022 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-es3tag-holo-rio-2022) Hidden $13.55 13.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.74 1.74 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.13x 2026-11-05 07:49 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Blood Tiger (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-blood-tiger-minimal-wear) Hidden $13.55 13.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN $3.32 3.32 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.25x 2026-11-05 07:49 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $13.55 | 89.94% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 2.0% covert knife 1.0% classified 11.9% Legendary 19.4% milspec 20.8% #D32CE6 22.2% industrial 22.7% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.94 on average: an expected loss of $10.06 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt