---
title: "Toxic Slime case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Toxic Slime ($21.55) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.95% from 15 items with odds, observed 56.56% over 17 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1228
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:13Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Toxic Slime](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1228)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Toxic Slime

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1228?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1228?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1228) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1228?window=all)

Price · $21.55 · 21.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 89.95% · EV $19.38 from 15 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 56.56% · 17 openings, odds method

Variance · 8.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 14 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 83.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 2 openings · below min

7 days · 14 openings · below min

30 days · 17 openings · below min

since tracking started · 17 openings · below min

-0.5% 202.5% 405.5%

**Small sample.** 17 openings and 1.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1228?window=24h) | 2 | 10.12% ±394.8 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1228?window=7d) | 14 | 64.16% ±149.2 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1228) | 17 | 56.56% ±135.4 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1228?window=all) | 17 | 56.56% ±135.4 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 17 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,493 1,493 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 2,000 | $969 969 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-field-tested) | 1 in 1,429 | $575 575 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Lore (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $403 403 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Slaughter (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-slaughter-well-worn) | 1 in 1,000 | $233 233 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-paracord-knife-stained-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $170 170 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 60.5% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.85× |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-field-tested) | 1 in 714 | $140 140 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Freehand (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-freehand-well-worn) | 1 in 500 | $69.57 69.57 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Souvenir AWP \| Acheron (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-acheron-well-worn) | 1 in 12 | $28.50 28.5 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.5% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Control Panel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-control-panel-battle-scarred) | 14.7% | $9.29 9.29 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.0% | 1 | 2.5 | 0.40× |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Djinn (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-djinn-battle-scarred) | 18.1% | $3.48 3.48 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.3% | 3 | 3.1 | 0.97× |
| [FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-well-worn) | 17.3% | $2.18 2.18 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.9% | 5 | 2.9 | 1.70× |
| [Sealed Graffiti \| Hop (Bazooka Pink) graffiti · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-hop-bazooka-pink) | 12.6% | $1.27 1.27 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.8% | 4 | 2.2 | 1.86× |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Destroyer (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-destroyer-minimal-wear) | 13.9% | $0.61 0.61 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.4% | 1 | 2.4 | 0.42× |
| [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 \| Assault (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-assault-well-worn) | 1 in 14 | $0.45 0.45 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.61× |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1228`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1228)

[FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-well-worn) [osamabeenlaidin](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/osamabeenlaidin) $21.55 21.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.18 2.18 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.10x 2026-11-11 15:49 UTC

[FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-well-worn) Hidden $21.55 21.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.18 2.18 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.10x 2026-11-11 15:49 UTC

[Sealed Graffiti | Hop (Bazooka Pink) graffiti · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-hop-bazooka-pink) Hidden $21.55 21.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.27 1.27 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-10 14:40 UTC

[StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Assault (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-assault-well-worn) Hidden $21.55 21.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.45 0.45 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 14:40 UTC

[StatTrak™ FAMAS | Djinn (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-djinn-battle-scarred) Hidden $21.55 21.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN $3.48 3.48 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.16x 2026-11-10 14:40 UTC

[FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-well-worn) Hidden $21.55 21.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.18 2.18 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.10x 2026-11-10 14:40 UTC

[Sealed Graffiti | Hop (Bazooka Pink) graffiti · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-hop-bazooka-pink) Hidden $21.55 21.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.27 1.27 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-10 14:40 UTC

[StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Assault (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-assault-well-worn) [ave](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/ave) $21.55 21.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.45 0.45 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 14:40 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Stained (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-paracord-knife-stained-field-tested) Hidden $21.55 21.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN $170 170 CSGOBIG\_COIN 7.89x 2026-11-09 05:59 UTC

[Sealed Graffiti | Hop (Bazooka Pink) graffiti · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-hop-bazooka-pink) Hidden $21.55 21.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.27 1.27 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-07 12:39 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $21.55 | 89.95% | 15 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.3% epic 0.1% extraordinary 0.1% #EB4B4B 6.9% gold 0.2% #4B69FF 15.8% #d32ee6 14.7% classified 18.1% pink 17.3% #B0C3D9 12.6% Mil Spec 13.9% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.95 on average: an expected loss of $10.05 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt