--- title: "Fruitless case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Fruitless ($23.44) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.96% from 12 items with odds, observed 103.82% over 29 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1229 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:37Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Fruitless](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1229) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Fruitless A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1229?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1229?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1229) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1229?window=all) Price · $23.44 · 23.44 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 89.96% · EV $21.09 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 103.82% · 29 openings, odds method Variance · 14.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 94.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 28 openings · below min 30 days · 29 openings · below min since tracking started · 29 openings · below min -0.5% 123.5% 247.5% **Small sample.** 29 openings and 1.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1229?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1229?window=7d) | 28 | 107.26% ±139.6 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1229) | 29 | 103.82% ±137.2 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1229?window=all) | 29 | 103.82% ±137.2 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 29 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $3,613 3,613 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $2,082 2,082 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,299 1,299 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $508 508 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Damascus Steel (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-damascus-steel-well-worn) | 1 in 21 | $276 276 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 61.6% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.47× | | [AK-47 \| The Empress (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-field-tested) | 1 in 500 | $96.59 96.59 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 250 | $32.71 32.71 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Sticker \| f0rest (Foil) \| Cologne 2016 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-f0rest-foil-cologne-2016) | 13.4% | $19.93 19.93 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.7% | 4 | 3.9 | 1.03× | | [Souvenir FAMAS \| Styx (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-famas-styx-battle-scarred) | 17.4% | $7.81 7.81 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.4% | 5 | 5.0 | 0.99× | | [Sticker \| jabbi (Holo) \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-jabbi-holo-antwerp-2022) | 23.3% | $2.59 2.59 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.9% | 8 | 6.8 | 1.18× | | [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Cirrus (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-cirrus-well-worn) | 22.0% | $1.74 1.74 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.8% | 4 | 6.4 | 0.63× | | [Sticker \| apEX (Holo) \| Rio 2022 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-apex-holo-rio-2022) | 18.3% | $1.05 1.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.9% | 6 | 5.3 | 1.13× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1229`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1229) [Sticker | jabbi (Holo) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-jabbi-holo-antwerp-2022) Hidden $23.44 23.44 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.59 2.59 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.11x 2026-11-09 05:59 UTC [StatTrak™ MP7 | Cirrus (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-cirrus-well-worn) Hidden $23.44 23.44 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.74 1.74 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-09 05:59 UTC [Sticker | jabbi (Holo) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-jabbi-holo-antwerp-2022) Hidden $23.44 23.44 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.59 2.59 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.11x 2026-11-09 05:59 UTC [StatTrak™ MP7 | Cirrus (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-cirrus-well-worn) [ilovebigspins](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/ilovebigspins) $23.44 23.44 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.74 1.74 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-09 05:59 UTC [Souvenir FAMAS | Styx (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-famas-styx-battle-scarred) Hidden $23.44 23.44 CSGOBIG\_COIN $7.81 7.81 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.33x 2026-11-07 17:49 UTC [Sticker | jabbi (Holo) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-jabbi-holo-antwerp-2022) [ROSSI - SKINS](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/ROSSI%20-%20SKINS) $23.44 23.44 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.59 2.59 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.11x 2026-11-07 12:39 UTC [Sticker | jabbi (Holo) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-jabbi-holo-antwerp-2022) Hidden $23.44 23.44 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.59 2.59 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.11x 2026-11-07 12:39 UTC [Sticker | jabbi (Holo) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-jabbi-holo-antwerp-2022) Hidden $23.44 23.44 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.59 2.59 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.11x 2026-11-07 09:57 UTC [Sticker | f0rest (Foil) | Cologne 2016 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-f0rest-foil-cologne-2016) Hidden $23.44 23.44 CSGOBIG\_COIN $19.93 19.93 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.85x 2026-11-06 19:59 UTC [Sticker | apEX (Holo) | Rio 2022 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-apex-holo-rio-2022) Hidden $23.44 23.44 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.05 1.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-06 19:59 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $23.44 | 89.96% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 0.1% covert 5.0% Ancient 0.4% #D32CE6 55.1% restricted 17.4% milspec 22.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.96 on average: an expected loss of $10.04 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt