--- title: "Salty case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Salty ($6.70) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.37% from 11 items with odds, observed 24.93% over 50 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1230 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:37Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Salty](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1230) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Salty A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1230?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1230?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1230) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1230?window=all) Price · $6.70 · 6.7 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 88.37% · EV $5.92 from 11 items Observed RTP, 30d · 24.93% · 50 openings, odds method Variance · 529.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 2,000 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 99.9% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 8 openings · below min 7 days · 40 openings · below min 30 days · 50 openings · below min since tracking started · 50 openings · below min -0.5% 810.0% 1620.5% **Small sample.** 50 openings and 0.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1230?window=24h) | 8 | 24.93% ±1595.0 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1230?window=7d) | 40 | 24.93% ±713.3 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1230) | 50 | 24.93% ±638.0 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1230?window=all) | 50 | 24.93% ±638.0 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 50 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $8,584 8,584 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 14.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 1 in 10,000 | $6,842 6,842 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 10,000 | $6,419 6,419 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 10,000 | $5,374 5,374 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $4,404 4,404 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) | 1 in 10,000 | $3,687 3,687 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 10,000 | $2,687 2,687 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 10,000 | $2,060 2,060 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-well-worn) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,432 1,432 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,036 1,036 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Salty (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-salty-holo) | 99.9% | $1.67 1.67 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 28.2% | 50 | 50.0 | 1.00× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1230`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1230) [Sticker | Salty (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-salty-holo) Hidden $6.70 6.7 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.67 1.67 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.25x 2026-11-11 03:48 UTC [Sticker | Salty (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-salty-holo) Hidden $6.70 6.7 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.67 1.67 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.25x 2026-11-11 03:48 UTC [Sticker | Salty (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-salty-holo) Hidden $6.70 6.7 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.67 1.67 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.25x 2026-11-10 19:40 UTC [Sticker | Salty (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-salty-holo) Hidden $6.70 6.7 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.67 1.67 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.25x 2026-11-10 19:40 UTC [Sticker | Salty (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-salty-holo) Hidden $6.70 6.7 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.67 1.67 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.25x 2026-11-10 19:40 UTC [Sticker | Salty (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-salty-holo) Hidden $6.70 6.7 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.67 1.67 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.25x 2026-11-10 19:40 UTC [Sticker | Salty (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-salty-holo) [KatKA](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/KatKA) $6.70 6.7 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.67 1.67 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.25x 2026-11-10 19:40 UTC [Sticker | Salty (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-salty-holo) Hidden $6.70 6.7 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.67 1.67 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.25x 2026-11-10 19:40 UTC [Sticker | Salty (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-salty-holo) Hidden $6.70 6.7 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.67 1.67 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.25x 2026-11-07 23:30 UTC [Sticker | Salty (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-salty-holo) Hidden $6.70 6.7 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.67 1.67 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.25x 2026-11-07 23:30 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $6.70 | 88.37% | 11 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 0.0% covert 0.1% #EB4B4B 0.0% remarkable 99.9% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.37 on average: an expected loss of $11.63 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt