--- title: "Frostbite case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Frostbite ($4,206.20) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 19 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1231 rendered: 2026-11-11T14:58Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Frostbite](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1231) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Frostbite A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1231?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1231?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1231) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1231?window=all) Price · $4,206.20 · 4,206 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $3,680.34 from 19 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 15.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 26 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 82.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1231?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1231?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1231) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1231?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 19 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Karambit \| Case Hardened (Field Tested) - Pattern 387 knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-case-hardened-field-tested-pattern-387) | 1 in 2,000 | $400K 400,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Case Hardened - 4x Titan (Factory New) weapon · #D9A859](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-4x-titan-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $300K 300,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent - 4x IBP (Factory New) weapon · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-4x-ibp-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $200K 200,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) - Pattern 661 StatTrak · weapon · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-case-hardened-minimal-wear-pattern-661) | 1 in 500 | $150K 150,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Gungnir - 3x IBP (Factory New) weapon · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-3x-ibp-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $100K 100,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Titan (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 250 | $85K 85,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $42K 42,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 143 | $9,930 9,930 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 1 in 67 | $8,300 8,300 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) | 1 in 38 | $6,270 6,270 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $5,100 5,100 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 15 | $4,450 4,450 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Field-Tested) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $3,180 3,180 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Spearmint (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-spearmint-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $2,575 2,575 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $2,050 2,050 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-field-tested) | 10.0% | $1,600 1,600 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $1,055 1,055 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 15.0% | $820 820 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 26.0% | $581 581 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1231`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1231) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $4,206 | 87.50% | 19 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed #EB4B4B 0.5% #D9A859 0.1% #D32CE6 0.2% legendary 11.4% covert 70.9% extraordinary 17.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt