--- title: "SHEESH Chronicles case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "SHEESH Chronicles ($100.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 12 items with odds, observed 8.69% over 16 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/124 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:18Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [SHEESH Chronicles](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/124) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · SHEESH Chronicles A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/124?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/124?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/124) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/124?window=all) Price · $100.00 · 100 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $89.99 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 8.69% · 16 openings, odds method Variance · 83.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 333 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 93.1% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 10 openings · below min 30 days · 16 openings · below min since tracking started · 16 openings · below min -0.5% 288.3% 577.0% **Small sample.** 16 openings and 0.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/124?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/124?window=7d) | 10 | 10.89% ±565.6 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/124) | 16 | 8.69% ±447.2 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/124?window=all) | 16 | 8.69% ±447.2 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 16 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 1,000 | $18.6K 18,641 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 20.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 1,000 | $18.6K 18,572 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 20.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 1,000 | $11.4K 11,408 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Classic Knife \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 15 | $523 523 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 38.6% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× | | [Sticker \| Fnatic (Holo) \| Atlanta 2017 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fnatic-holo-atlanta-2017) | 1 in 11 | $41.76 41.76 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.1% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.41× | | [Patch \| Metal Silver Demon patch · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/patch-metal-silver-demon) | 15.5% | $9.31 9.31 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.6% | 2 | 2.5 | 0.81× | | [Galil AR \| Shattered (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-shattered-minimal-wear) | 19.9% | $5.13 5.13 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.1% | 6 | 3.2 | 1.88× | | [Five-SeveN \| Capillary (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-capillary-well-worn) | 17.7% | $1.68 1.68 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 3 | 2.8 | 1.06× | | [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Bunsen Burner (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-bunsen-burner-battle-scarred) | 13.3% | $0.76 0.76 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 1 | 2.1 | 0.47× | | [AUG \| Aristocrat (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-aristocrat-field-tested) | 1 in 23 | $0.60 0.6 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [Souvenir P250 \| Bone Mask (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p250-bone-mask-battle-scarred) | 11.1% | $0.25 0.25 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 1 | 1.8 | 0.56× | | [Galil AR \| Sage Spray (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sage-spray-well-worn) | 1 in 45 | $0.04 0.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 1 | 0.4 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=124`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=124) [Galil AR | Sage Spray (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sage-spray-well-worn) Hidden $100 100 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.04 0.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 10:19 UTC [Sticker | Fnatic (Holo) | Atlanta 2017 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fnatic-holo-atlanta-2017) Hidden $100 100 CSGOBIG\_COIN $41.76 41.76 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.42x 2026-11-10 10:19 UTC [Patch | Metal Silver Demon patch · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/patch-metal-silver-demon) Hidden $100 100 CSGOBIG\_COIN $9.31 9.31 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.09x 2026-11-07 21:59 UTC [Five-SeveN | Capillary (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-capillary-well-worn) Hidden $100 100 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.68 1.68 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-07 21:59 UTC [StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-bunsen-burner-battle-scarred) [Default Name](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/Default%20Name) $100 100 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.76 0.76 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-07 21:59 UTC [Sticker | Fnatic (Holo) | Atlanta 2017 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fnatic-holo-atlanta-2017) Hidden $100 100 CSGOBIG\_COIN $41.76 41.76 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.42x 2026-11-07 21:59 UTC [Galil AR | Shattered (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-shattered-minimal-wear) Hidden $100 100 CSGOBIG\_COIN $5.13 5.13 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-07 21:59 UTC [Five-SeveN | Capillary (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-capillary-well-worn) Hidden $100 100 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.68 1.68 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-07 21:59 UTC [Galil AR | Shattered (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-shattered-minimal-wear) Hidden $100 100 CSGOBIG\_COIN $5.13 5.13 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-07 12:58 UTC [Five-SeveN | Capillary (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-capillary-well-worn) Hidden $100 100 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.68 1.68 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-07 12:58 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $100 | 89.99% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 6.9% remarkable 8.9% Exotic 15.5% Mil Spec 19.9% milspec 31.0% restricted 4.4% #B0C3D9 11.1% consumer 2.2% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt