--- title: "Victorian Secrets case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Victorian Secrets ($120.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/125 rendered: 2026-11-11T19:53Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Victorian Secrets](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/125) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Victorian Secrets A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/125?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/125?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/125) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/125?window=all) Price · $120.00 · 120 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $108.00 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 8.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 14.5% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 72.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/125?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/125?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/125) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/125?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $3,400 3,400 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 31.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-asiimov-well-worn) | 13.5% | $265 265 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 33.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Gut Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 10.5% | $190 190 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 18.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Gut Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $171 171 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| The Empress (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-empress-battle-scarred) | 12.0% | $44.29 44.29 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver \| Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $27.82 27.82 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $26.51 26.51 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $14.94 14.94 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Faded Zebra (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-faded-zebra-well-worn) | 1 in 66 | $5.32 5.32 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Faded Zebra (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-faded-zebra-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $1.91 1.91 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sawed-Off \| Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-amber-fade-field-tested) | 16.5% | $0.51 0.51 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Ancient Marauder sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ancient-marauder) | 1 in 17 | $0.38 0.38 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=125`, 11 Nov, 19:23 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=125) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $120 | 90.00% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 62.5% Covert 9.0% milspec 18.0% mil spec 4.5% High Grade 6.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt