--- title: "Furry Party case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Furry Party ($15.57) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 4 items with odds, observed 64.66% over 13 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/133 rendered: 2026-11-11T14:28Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Furry Party](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/133) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Furry Party A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/133?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/133?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/133) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/133?window=all) Price · $15.57 · 15.57 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $14.01 from 4 items Observed RTP, 30d · 64.66% · 13 openings, odds method Variance · 1.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 20.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 70.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 13 openings · below min 30 days · 13 openings · below min since tracking started · 13 openings · below min -0.5% 68.5% 137.5% **Small sample.** 13 openings and 2.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/133?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/133?window=7d) | 13 | 64.66% ±72.2 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/133) | 13 | 64.66% ±72.2 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/133?window=all) | 13 | 64.66% ±72.2 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 4 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 13 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-starlight-protector-factory-new) | 10.0% | $67.00 67 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 47.8% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.77× | | [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-fairy-tale-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $36.29 36.29 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 25.9% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× | | [UMP-45 \| Wild Child (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-wild-child-factory-new) | 10.0% | $19.69 19.69 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 14.1% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.54× | | [Sticker \| Unicorn (Holo) sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-unicorn-holo) | 70.0% | $2.45 2.45 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.2% | 10 | 9.1 | 1.10× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=133`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=133) [Sticker | Unicorn (Holo) sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-unicorn-holo) Hidden $15.57 15.57 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.45 2.45 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.16x 2026-11-09 23:20 UTC [Sticker | Unicorn (Holo) sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-unicorn-holo) Hidden $15.57 15.57 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.45 2.45 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.16x 2026-11-09 23:20 UTC [Sticker | Unicorn (Holo) sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-unicorn-holo) Hidden $15.57 15.57 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.45 2.45 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.16x 2026-11-09 05:29 UTC [Sticker | Unicorn (Holo) sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-unicorn-holo) Hidden $15.57 15.57 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.45 2.45 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.16x 2026-11-09 05:29 UTC [Sticker | Unicorn (Holo) sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-unicorn-holo) Hidden $15.57 15.57 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.45 2.45 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.16x 2026-11-08 08:00 UTC [Sticker | Unicorn (Holo) sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-unicorn-holo) [POTATO](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/POTATO) $15.57 15.57 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.45 2.45 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.16x 2026-11-08 08:00 UTC [Sticker | Unicorn (Holo) sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-unicorn-holo) Hidden $15.57 15.57 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.45 2.45 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.16x 2026-11-08 08:00 UTC [UMP-45 | Wild Child (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-wild-child-factory-new) Hidden $15.57 15.57 CSGOBIG\_COIN $19.69 19.69 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.26x 2026-11-06 20:29 UTC [StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-starlight-protector-factory-new) Hidden $15.57 15.57 CSGOBIG\_COIN $67.00 67 CSGOBIG\_COIN 4.30x 2026-11-06 20:29 UTC [Sticker | Unicorn (Holo) sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-unicorn-holo) Hidden $15.57 15.57 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.45 2.45 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.16x 2026-11-06 20:29 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $15.57 | 90.00% | 4 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 10.0% classified 10.0% pink 10.0% Mythical 70.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt