--- title: "Rosewood case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Rosewood ($2.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.05% from 12 items with odds, observed 89.06% over 39 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/136 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Rosewood](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/136) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Rosewood A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/136?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/136?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/136) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/136?window=all) Price · $2.00 · 2 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.05% · EV $1.80 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 89.06% · 39 openings, odds method Variance · 5.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.9% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 86.1% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 1 openings · below min 7 days · 36 openings · below min 30 days · 39 openings · below min since tracking started · 39 openings · below min -0.5% 227.8% 456.0% **Small sample.** 39 openings and 4.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/136?window=24h) | 1 | 8.00% ±447.5 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/136?window=7d) | 36 | 80.90% ±74.6 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/136) | 39 | 89.06% ±71.7 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/136?window=all) | 39 | 89.06% ±71.7 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 39 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Woodsman (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-woodsman-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $25.00 25 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 27.8% | 1 | 0.8 | — | | [P2000 \| Woodsman (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-woodsman-well-worn) | 1 in 11 | $10.80 10.8 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 53.4% | 3 | 3.5 | 0.86× | | [MP9 \| Rose Iron (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-rose-iron-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $6.23 6.23 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.4% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.85× | | [AUG \| Spalted Wood (Field-Tested) weapon · Industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-spalted-wood-field-tested) | 1 in 66 | $0.66 0.66 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.6% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [StatTrak™ Nova \| Wood Fired (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-wood-fired-battle-scarred) | 16.3% | $0.27 0.27 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.4% | 7 | 6.4 | 1.10× | | [Nova \| Wood Fired (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-wood-fired-factory-new) | 14.8% | $0.25 0.25 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.1% | 7 | 5.8 | 1.21× | | [P90 \| Ash Wood (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-ash-wood-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $0.17 0.17 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.6% | 1 | 2.3 | 0.43× | | [Souvenir Dual Berettas \| Drift Wood (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-dual-berettas-drift-wood-factory-new) | 10.4% | $0.16 0.16 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.9% | 2 | 4.1 | 0.49× | | [Souvenir AUG \| Spalted Wood (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · #5E98D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-aug-spalted-wood-minimal-wear) | 13.3% | $0.15 0.15 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.1% | 8 | 5.2 | 1.54× | | [Souvenir AUG \| Spalted Wood (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-aug-spalted-wood-well-worn) | 1 in 22 | $0.10 0.1 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.15× | | [Souvenir Dual Berettas \| Drift Wood (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · #5E98D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-dual-berettas-drift-wood-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $0.08 0.08 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 2 | 2.9 | 0.69× | | [Sticker \| WOOD7 \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-wood7-antwerp-2022) | 11.9% | $0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 5 | 4.6 | 1.08× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=136`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=136) [Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-dual-berettas-drift-wood-factory-new) Hidden $2.00 2 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.16 0.16 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.08x 2026-11-10 20:29 UTC [P2000 | Woodsman (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-woodsman-well-worn) Hidden $2.00 2 CSGOBIG\_COIN $10.80 10.8 CSGOBIG\_COIN 5.40x 2026-11-09 01:19 UTC [P2000 | Woodsman (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-woodsman-well-worn) Hidden $2.00 2 CSGOBIG\_COIN $10.80 10.8 CSGOBIG\_COIN 5.40x 2026-11-08 21:40 UTC [StatTrak™ Nova | Wood Fired (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-wood-fired-battle-scarred) Hidden $2.00 2 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.27 0.27 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.14x 2026-11-08 21:40 UTC [Souvenir AUG | Spalted Wood (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · #5E98D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-aug-spalted-wood-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.00 2 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.15 0.15 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.08x 2026-11-08 21:40 UTC [Nova | Wood Fired (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-wood-fired-factory-new) Hidden $2.00 2 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.25 0.25 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.13x 2026-11-08 21:40 UTC [Souvenir AUG | Spalted Wood (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-aug-spalted-wood-well-worn) Hidden $2.00 2 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.10 0.1 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-08 21:40 UTC [Nova | Wood Fired (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-wood-fired-factory-new) [Default Name](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/Default%20Name) $2.00 2 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.25 0.25 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.13x 2026-11-08 21:40 UTC [Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · #5E98D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-dual-berettas-drift-wood-field-tested) Hidden $2.00 2 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.08 0.08 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-08 17:30 UTC [Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-dual-berettas-drift-wood-factory-new) Hidden $2.00 2 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.16 0.16 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.08x 2026-11-08 17:30 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $2.00 | 90.05% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed #8847FF 2.0% restricted 11.9% Industrial 1.5% milspec 16.3% mil spec 14.8% industrial 10.4% Industrial Grade 10.4% #5E98D9 20.8% #4B69FF 11.9% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.05 on average: an expected loss of $9.95 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt