--- title: "Fiery Furry case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Fiery Furry ($25.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds, observed 6.49% over 4 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/138 rendered: 2026-11-11T14:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Fiery Furry](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/138) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Fiery Furry A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/138?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/138?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/138) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/138?window=all) Price · $25.00 · 25 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $22.50 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 6.49% · 4 openings, odds method Variance · 5.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 11.8% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.8% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 4 openings · below min 30 days · 4 openings · below min since tracking started · 4 openings · below min -0.5% 112.5% 225.5% **Small sample.** 4 openings and 0.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/138?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/138?window=7d) | 4 | 6.49% ±218.6 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/138) | 4 | 6.49% ±218.6 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/138?window=all) | 4 | 6.49% ±218.6 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Wildfire (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-wildfire-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $300 300 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 40.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Wildfire (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-wildfire-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $85.00 85 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 33.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [AWP \| Wildfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $60.85 60.85 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 19.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Sticker \| FlameZ (Gold) \| Rio 2022 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-flamez-gold-rio-2022) | 1 in 66 | $8.13 8.13 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [FAMAS \| Spitfire (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-spitfire-battle-scarred) | 1 in 34 | $6.80 6.8 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [MAG-7 \| Firestarter (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-firestarter-factory-new) | 13.2% | $5.02 5.02 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.9% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [Patch \| Wildfire patch · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/patch-wildfire) | 1 in 17 | $1.47 1.47 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Sticker \| FlameZ (Holo) \| Rio 2022 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-flamez-holo-rio-2022) | 10.3% | $1.42 1.42 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Firefight (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-firefight-field-tested) | 14.7% | $0.93 0.93 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.6% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Firestarter (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-firestarter-field-tested) | 11.7% | $0.89 0.89 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.5% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [Galil AR \| Firefight (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-firefight-field-tested) | 1 in 23 | $0.52 0.52 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Flame Test (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-flame-test-minimal-wear) | 16.1% | $0.27 0.27 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 2 | 0.6 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=138`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=138) [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Flame Test (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-flame-test-minimal-wear) Hidden $25.00 25 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.27 0.27 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-09 08:29 UTC [StatTrak™ Galil AR | Firefight (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-firefight-field-tested) Hidden $25.00 25 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.93 0.93 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-09 08:29 UTC [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Flame Test (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-flame-test-minimal-wear) Hidden $25.00 25 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.27 0.27 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-09 08:29 UTC [MAG-7 | Firestarter (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-firestarter-factory-new) Hidden $25.00 25 CSGOBIG\_COIN $5.02 5.02 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.20x 2026-11-07 17:49 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $25.00 | 90.00% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 19.2% #EB4B4B 1.5% restricted 22.1% Mil Spec Grade 13.2% #4B69FF 17.6% #D32CE6 10.3% milspec 16.1% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt