---
title: "The Decapitator case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "The Decapitator ($25.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 20 items with odds, observed 21.07% over 7 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/16
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:27Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [The Decapitator](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/16)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · The Decapitator

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/16?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/16?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/16) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/16?window=all)

Price · $25.00 · 25 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $22.50 from 20 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 21.07% · 7 openings, odds method

Variance · 7.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 90.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 3 openings · below min

7 days · 7 openings · below min

30 days · 7 openings · below min

since tracking started · 7 openings · below min

-0.5% 166.8% 334.0%

**Small sample.** 7 openings and 0.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/16?window=24h) | 3 | 26.81% ±306.7 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/16?window=7d) | 7 | 21.07% ±200.8 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/16) | 7 | 21.07% ±200.8 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/16?window=all) | 7 | 21.07% ±200.8 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 7 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Slaughter (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,488 1,488 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Slaughter (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,458 1,458 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Lightning Strike (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,000 1,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $950 950 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $530 530 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Freehand (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-freehand-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $265 265 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 29.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 15 | $114 114 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 33.8% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [Sticker \| shroud \| Cologne 2015 sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-shroud-cologne-2015) | 1 in 60 | $18.50 18.5 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Hexane (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-hexane-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $15.88 15.88 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.3% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [Sticker \| dupreeh (Foil) \| Krakow 2017 sticker · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dupreeh-foil-krakow-2017) | 11.6% | $14.47 14.47 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.5% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-leaded-glass-field-tested) | 1 in 10 | $11.35 11.35 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.0% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Music Kit \| The Verkkars, EZ4ENCE music kit · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-music-kit-the-verkkars-ez4ence) | 1 in 11 | $8.58 8.58 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.5% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $8.26 8.26 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Sticker \| n0rb3r7 (Gold) \| Rio 2022 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-n0rb3r7-gold-rio-2022) | 10.8% | $4.67 4.67 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.2% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [MP9 \| Airlock (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-airlock-minimal-wear) | 1 in 30 | $3.92 3.92 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Sticker \| olofmeister \| Krakow 2017 sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-olofmeister-krakow-2017) | 1 in 17 | $2.03 2.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.5% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Sputnik (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sputnik-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $0.52 0.52 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [Souvenir Five-SeveN \| Withered Vine (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-five-seven-withered-vine-well-worn) | 12.5% | $0.18 0.18 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 3 | 0.9 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Carnivore (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-carnivore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12 | $0.14 0.14 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [Sealed Graffiti \| GGEZ (Desert Amber) graffiti · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-ggez-desert-amber) | 1 in 120 | $0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=16`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=16)

[StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-leaded-glass-field-tested) Hidden $25.00 25 CSGOBIG\_COIN $11.35 11.35 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.45x 2026-11-11 02:38 UTC

[StatTrak™ Music Kit | The Verkkars, EZ4ENCE music kit · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-music-kit-the-verkkars-ez4ence) Hidden $25.00 25 CSGOBIG\_COIN $8.58 8.58 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.34x 2026-11-11 02:38 UTC

[Souvenir Five-SeveN | Withered Vine (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-five-seven-withered-vine-well-worn) Hidden $25.00 25 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.18 0.18 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 02:38 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Sputnik (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sputnik-battle-scarred) Hidden $25.00 25 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.52 0.52 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 03:09 UTC

[Souvenir Five-SeveN | Withered Vine (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-five-seven-withered-vine-well-worn) Hidden $25.00 25 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.18 0.18 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 03:09 UTC

[StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-hexane-factory-new) Hidden $25.00 25 CSGOBIG\_COIN $15.88 15.88 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.64x 2026-11-07 17:49 UTC

[Souvenir Five-SeveN | Withered Vine (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-five-seven-withered-vine-well-worn) Hidden $25.00 25 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.18 0.18 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-07 10:18 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $25.00 | 90.00% | 20 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 10.9% extraordinary 0.1% covert knife 2.5% #4B69FF 15.0% #8847FF 11.6% Legendary 10.0% high 9.1% #EB4B4B 10.8% #d32ee6 3.3% blue 5.0% industrial 12.5% milspec 8.3% #B0C3D9 0.8% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt