--- title: "5% Spellbound Stash case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "5% Spellbound Stash ($725.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds, observed 21.09% over 3 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/167 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:05Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [5% Spellbound Stash](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/167) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · 5% Spellbound Stash A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/167?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/167?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/167) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/167?window=all) Price · $725.00 · 725 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $652.50 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 21.09% · 3 openings, odds method Variance · 19.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 67 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 3 openings · below min 30 days · 3 openings · below min since tracking started · 3 openings · below min -0.5% 263.0% 526.5% **Small sample.** 3 openings and 0.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/167?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/167?window=7d) | 3 | 21.09% ±504.8 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/167) | 3 | 21.09% ±504.8 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/167?window=all) | 3 | 21.09% ±504.8 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| Team LDLC.com (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 200 | $27.4K 27,405 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 21.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Team Dignitas (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 200 | $27.4K 27,389 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 21.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 200 | $17.5K 17,520 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $12K 12,014 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Natus Vincere (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 200 | $11.4K 11,357 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $5,959 5,959 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Field-Tested) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $4,354 4,354 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $2,843 2,843 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Icarus Fell (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-factory-new) | 15.0% | $456 456 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.5% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [Sticker \| steel (Foil) \| Cluj-Napoca 2015 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-steel-foil-cluj-napoca-2015) | 18.0% | $14.48 14.48 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.4% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [Sticker \| gla1ve (Foil) \| London 2018 sticker · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gla1ve-foil-london-2018) | 26.7% | $3.14 3.14 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Heat (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-heat-field-tested) | 35.3% | $1.30 1.3 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.89× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=167`, 11 Nov, 12:47 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=167) [M4A1-S | Icarus Fell (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-factory-new) Hidden $725 725 CSGOBIG\_COIN $456 456 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.63x 2026-11-09 02:49 UTC [StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heat (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-heat-field-tested) Hidden $725 725 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.30 1.3 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 02:49 UTC [StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heat (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-heat-field-tested) Hidden $725 725 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.30 1.3 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 02:49 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $725 | 90.00% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed remarkable 1.5% covert 2.5% legendary 1.0% restricted 50.3% #D32CE6 18.0% #8847FF 26.7% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt