--- title: "20% Mystic Menagerie case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "20% Mystic Menagerie ($1,198.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 16 items with odds, observed 94.93% over 5 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/170 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:35Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [20% Mystic Menagerie](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/170) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · 20% Mystic Menagerie A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/170?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/170?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/170) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/170?window=all) Price · $1,198.00 · 1,198 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $1,078.22 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 94.93% · 5 openings, odds method Variance · 10.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 27 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 30 days · 5 openings · below min since tracking started · 5 openings · below min -0.5% 187.3% 375.0% **Small sample.** 5 openings and 0.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/170?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/170?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/170) | 5 | 94.93% ±279.6 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/170?window=all) | 5 | 94.93% ±279.6 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 5 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $54.8K 54,810 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Vox Eminor (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vox-eminor-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 1,000 | $48K 47,959 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $26.7K 26,720 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $15.2K 15,209 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Spearmint (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-spearmint-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $14.5K 14,524 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $13.5K 13,544 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| King Snake (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $12.3K 12,328 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $11.9K 11,933 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Howl (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $7,776 7,776 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 125 | $6,022 6,022 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $4,521 4,521 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $3,343 3,343 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $2,843 2,843 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.9% | 2 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $1,614 1,614 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $1,562 1,562 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Five-SeveN \| Capillary (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-capillary-minimal-wear) | 80.0% | $0.16 0.16 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 3 | 4.0 | 0.75× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=170`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Karambit | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-factory-new) Hidden $1,198 1,198 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2,843 2,843 CSGOBIG\_COIN 2.37x 2026-11-03 05:59 UTC [★ Karambit | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-factory-new) Hidden $1,198 1,198 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2,843 2,843 CSGOBIG\_COIN 2.37x 2026-11-03 05:59 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=170) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $1,198 | 90.00% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.7% extraordinary 1.5% contraband 1.8% covert 16.0% Rare 80.0% best hit $2,843 (2.37x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt