--- title: "20% Temukau case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "20% Temukau ($312.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 7 items with odds, observed 18.26% over 12 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/177 rendered: 2026-11-11T22:03Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [20% Temukau](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/177) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · 20% Temukau A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/177?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/177?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/177) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/177?window=all) Price · $312.00 · 312 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $280.81 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 18.26% · 12 openings, odds method Variance · 12.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 50 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 12 openings · below min 30 days · 12 openings · below min since tracking started · 12 openings · below min -0.5% 155.5% 311.5% **Small sample.** 12 openings and 0.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/177?window=24h) | 6 | 24.72% ±286.0 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/177?window=7d) | 12 | 18.26% ±202.2 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/177) | 12 | 18.26% ±202.2 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/177?window=all) | 12 | 18.26% ±202.2 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 12 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Bullet Rain (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-bullet-rain-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $9,895 9,895 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 35.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [M4A4 \| Howl (Minimal Wear) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $4,274 4,274 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 15.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [M4A4 \| Eye of Horus (Factory New) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $1,781 1,781 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 19.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Souvenir M4A4 \| Radiation Hazard (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a4-radiation-hazard-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $1,027 1,027 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 18.3% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Temukau (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-temukau-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $460 460 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.2% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [M4A4 \| Temukau (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $218 218 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.9% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Decommissioned (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-decommissioned-minimal-wear) | 80.0% | $0.55 0.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 10 | 9.6 | 1.04× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=177`, 11 Nov, 19:23 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=177) [StatTrak™ FAMAS | Decommissioned (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-decommissioned-minimal-wear) Hidden $312 312 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.55 0.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 23:00 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-temukau-factory-new) Hidden $312 312 CSGOBIG\_COIN $460 460 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.47x 2026-11-10 23:00 UTC [StatTrak™ FAMAS | Decommissioned (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-decommissioned-minimal-wear) Hidden $312 312 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.55 0.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 23:00 UTC [StatTrak™ FAMAS | Decommissioned (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-decommissioned-minimal-wear) [Zane👑readMYbio](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/Zane%F0%9F%91%91readMYbio) $312 312 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.55 0.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 23:00 UTC [StatTrak™ FAMAS | Decommissioned (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-decommissioned-minimal-wear) Hidden $312 312 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.55 0.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 23:00 UTC [StatTrak™ FAMAS | Decommissioned (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-decommissioned-minimal-wear) Hidden $312 312 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.55 0.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 23:00 UTC [StatTrak™ FAMAS | Decommissioned (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-decommissioned-minimal-wear) [KirbY](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/KirbY) $312 312 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.55 0.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 00:40 UTC [StatTrak™ FAMAS | Decommissioned (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-decommissioned-minimal-wear) Hidden $312 312 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.55 0.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 00:40 UTC [StatTrak™ FAMAS | Decommissioned (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-decommissioned-minimal-wear) Hidden $312 312 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.55 0.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 00:40 UTC [StatTrak™ FAMAS | Decommissioned (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-decommissioned-minimal-wear) Hidden $312 312 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.55 0.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 00:40 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $312 | 90.00% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 11.0% contraband 1.0% #eb4b4b 3.0% #4B69FF 5.0% milspec 80.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt