---
title: "Sweet Summer case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Sweet Summer ($30.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 20 items with odds, observed 5.13% over 2 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/18
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:28Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Sweet Summer](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/18)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Sweet Summer

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/18?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/18?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/18) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/18?window=all)

Price · $30.00 · 30 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $27.00 from 20 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 5.13% · 2 openings, odds method

Variance · 7.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 83.4% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 2 openings · below min

7 days · 2 openings · below min

30 days · 2 openings · below min

since tracking started · 2 openings · below min

-0.5% 192.8% 386.0%

**Small sample.** 2 openings and 0.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/18?window=24h) | 2 | 5.13% ±380.3 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/18?window=7d) | 2 | 5.13% ±380.3 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/18) | 2 | 5.13% ±380.3 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/18?window=all) | 2 | 5.13% ±380.3 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,200 1,200 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $768 768 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-classic-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $610 610 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $580 580 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-emerald-dragon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 333 | $475 475 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $262 262 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 19.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Bright Water (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $228 228 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 16.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $59.15 59.15 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 18.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Night (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $36.40 36.4 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Sticker \| FURIA (Gold) \| Stockholm 2021 sticker · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-furia-gold-stockholm-2021) | 12.4% | $13.86 13.86 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Souvenir MAC-10 \| Gold Brick (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mac-10-gold-brick-field-tested) | 11.4% | $10.57 10.57 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [R8 Revolver \| Amber Fade (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-amber-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $10.00 10 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 19 | $2.92 2.92 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Sticker \| Snax \| Cluj-Napoca 2015 sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-snax-cluj-napoca-2015) | 1 in 81 | $2.40 2.4 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-bronze-deco-factory-new) | 10.3% | $2.39 2.39 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.9% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [Sticker \| Hiko \| Cologne 2016 sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hiko-cologne-2016) | 1 in 16 | $2.07 2.07 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [SCAR-20 \| Army Sheen (Field-Tested) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-army-sheen-field-tested) | 13.4% | $1.59 1.59 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Bamboozle (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-bamboozle-battle-scarred) | 1 in 44 | $1.24 1.24 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Souvenir MP7 \| Gunsmoke (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · #5E98D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mp7-gunsmoke-well-worn) | 1 in 23 | $0.93 0.93 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Sticker \| Kimberly sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kimberly) | 1 in 11 | $0.69 0.69 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 1 | 0.2 | — |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=18`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=18)

[StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Bronze Deco (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-bronze-deco-factory-new) Hidden $30.00 30 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.39 2.39 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.08x 2026-11-11 02:38 UTC

[Sticker | Kimberly sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kimberly) Hidden $30.00 30 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.69 0.69 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 02:38 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $30.00 | 90.00% | 20 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert knife 2.1% covert 26.2% epic 0.2% #EB4B4B 0.2% classified 7.6% sunny 2.0% industrial 3.3% restricted 11.4% #4B69FF 7.5% Mil Spec Grade 10.3% Consumer Grade 13.4% Restricted 2.2% #5E98D9 4.3% Rare 9.3% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt