--- title: "20% Herbology Harvest case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "20% Herbology Harvest ($694.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 14 items with odds, observed 0.12% over 2 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/182 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:18Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [20% Herbology Harvest](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/182) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · 20% Herbology Harvest A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/182?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/182?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/182) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/182?window=all) Price · $694.00 · 694 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $624.60 from 14 items Observed RTP, 30d · 0.12% · 2 openings, odds method Variance · 10.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 29 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 2 openings · below min 30 days · 2 openings · below min since tracking started · 2 openings · below min -0.5% 228.0% 456.5% **Small sample.** 2 openings and 0.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/182?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/182?window=7d) | 2 | 0.12% ±455.7 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/182) | 2 | 0.12% ±455.7 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/182?window=all) | 2 | 0.12% ±455.7 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $29.5K 29,518 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 400 | $15.4K 15,432 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $13.6K 13,578 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 400 | $10.3K 10,288 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 133 | $8,736 8,736 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 133 | $6,739 6,739 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 100 | $6,012 6,012 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 133 | $5,705 5,705 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 133 | $5,327 5,327 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $3,433 3,433 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $1,499 1,499 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $869 869 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $718 718 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Nova \| Sand Dune (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-factory-new) | 80.0% | $0.82 0.82 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.25× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=182`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=182) [Nova | Sand Dune (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-factory-new) Hidden $694 694 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.82 0.82 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 02:49 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-factory-new) Hidden $694 694 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.82 0.82 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 02:49 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $694 | 90.00% | 14 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 3.3% #EB4B4B 0.3% contraband 0.3% covert 11.3% rare 5.0% consumer 80.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt