--- title: "Celestial Codex case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Celestial Codex ($600.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/183 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Celestial Codex](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/183) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Celestial Codex A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/183?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/183?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/183) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/183?window=all) Price · $600.00 · 600 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $540.00 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 25.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 19.1% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 65.6% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/183?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/183?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/183) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/183?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| Titan (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 1,000 | $91.6K 91,577 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 17.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 200 | $10.3K 10,333 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 100 | $4,400 4,400 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 17.5% | $1,256 1,256 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 40.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 15.3% | $616 616 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 17.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Gut Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 23 | $258 258 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Night (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-night-field-tested) | 13.1% | $124 124 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Night (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-night-battle-scarred) | 1 in 11 | $118 118 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Faded Zebra (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-faded-zebra-well-worn) | 1 in 15 | $5.32 5.32 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P2000 \| Space Race (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-space-race-battle-scarred) | 10.9% | $4.06 4.06 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [USP-S \| Night Ops (Well-Worn) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-night-ops-well-worn) | 19.7% | $0.55 0.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [PP-Bizon \| Space Cat (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-space-cat-field-tested) | 1 in 46 | $0.37 0.37 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=183`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=183) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $600 | 90.00% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed 1 19.7% legendary 0.1% covert 46.4% #EB4B4B 1.0% covert knife 13.1% milspec 6.6% Restricted 10.9% Mythical 2.2% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt