--- title: "Elixir Essence case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Elixir Essence ($500.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds, observed 0.43% over 2 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/184 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:10Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Elixir Essence](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/184) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Elixir Essence A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/184?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/184?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/184) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/184?window=all) Price · $500.00 · 500 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $450.00 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 0.43% · 2 openings, odds method Variance · 37.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 48 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 81.6% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 2 openings · below min 30 days · 2 openings · below min since tracking started · 2 openings · below min -0.5% 426.0% 852.5% **Small sample.** 2 openings and 0.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/184?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/184?window=7d) | 2 | 0.43% ±851.2 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/184) | 2 | 0.43% ±851.2 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/184?window=all) | 2 | 0.43% ±851.2 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 1,000 | $89.3K 89,288 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 19.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 400 | $15.4K 15,432 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 133 | $8,736 8,736 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 14.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Spearmint (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-spearmint-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $5,479 5,479 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-field-tested) | 16.3% | $1,077 1,077 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 39.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Gut Knife \| Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-boreal-forest-minimal-wear) | 10.9% | $160 160 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-boreal-forest-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12 | $88.00 88 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Primal Saber (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-primal-saber-battle-scarred) | 19.0% | $4.25 4.25 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [Sticker \| Seeing Red (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-seeing-red-foil) | 21.8% | $3.20 3.2 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Sealed Graffiti \| NT (Jungle Green) graffiti · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-nt-jungle-green) | 13.6% | $0.24 0.24 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Souvenir MP5-SD \| Dirt Drop (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mp5-sd-dirt-drop-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $0.05 0.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 1 | 0.1 | — | | [Sealed Graffiti \| GGWP (Jungle Green) graffiti · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-ggwp-jungle-green) | 1 in 37 | $0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=184`, 11 Nov, 12:47 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=184) [Souvenir MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mp5-sd-dirt-drop-field-tested) Hidden $500 500 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.05 0.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-05 07:59 UTC [StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-primal-saber-battle-scarred) Hidden $500 500 CSGOBIG\_COIN $4.25 4.25 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-05 07:59 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $500 | 90.00% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.1% #EB4B4B 0.3% covert 27.9% extraordinary 1.0% covert knife 8.2% classified 19.0% exotic 21.8% #B0C3D9 21.8% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt