--- title: "Spectral Spirits case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Spectral Spirits ($275.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/185 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:06Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Spectral Spirits](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/185) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Spectral Spirits A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/185?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/185?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/185) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/185?window=all) Price · $275.00 · 275 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $247.50 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 31.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 91 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.6% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/185?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/185?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/185) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/185?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [EMS Katowice 2014 Legends other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/ems-katowice-2014-legends) | 1 in 1,000 | $32.7K 32,690 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 400 | $17.5K 17,520 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 17.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $11.9K 11,933 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $4,865 4,865 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 12 | $1,104 1,104 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 36.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 36 | $148 148 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-neo-noir-well-worn) | 19.2% | $49.84 49.84 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir P2000 \| Amber Fade (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p2000-amber-fade-factory-new) | 16.5% | $41.05 41.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 13.7% | $23.92 23.92 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir USP-S \| Ancient Visions (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-usp-s-ancient-visions-well-worn) | 11.0% | $9.15 9.15 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Antwerp 2022 Ancient Souvenir Package container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/antwerp-2022-ancient-souvenir-package) | 21.9% | $3.99 3.99 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [G3SG1 \| Ancient Ritual (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-ancient-ritual-factory-new) | 1 in 18 | $1.41 1.41 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=185`, 11 Nov, 12:47 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=185) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $275 | 90.00% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed base 0.1% covert 14.2% extraordinary 0.5% #EB4B4B 8.3% sunny 2.8% Covert 19.2% #8847FF 27.5% Base Grade 21.9% industrial 5.5% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt