--- title: "Sticky Goblin case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Sticky Goblin ($800.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 15 items with odds, observed 32.52% over 9 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/186 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:36Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Sticky Goblin](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/186) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Sticky Goblin A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/186?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/186?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/186) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/186?window=all) Price · $800.00 · 800 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $720.00 from 15 items Observed RTP, 30d · 32.52% · 9 openings, odds method Variance · 34.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 65 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.7% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 30 days · 9 openings · below min since tracking started · 9 openings · below min -0.5% 209.3% 419.0% **Small sample.** 9 openings and 0.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/186?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/186?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/186) | 9 | 32.52% ±385.7 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/186?window=all) | 9 | 32.52% ±385.7 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 9 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| Titan (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 1,000 | $91.6K 91,577 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 1,000 | $89.3K 89,288 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Reason Gaming (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 1,000 | $68.7K 68,683 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $11.6K 11,614 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-minimal-wear) | 1 in 133 | $7,631 7,631 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 333 | $5,959 5,959 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-gold-arabesque-field-tested) | 17.4% | $1,740 1,740 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 42.1% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.64× | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-golden-coil-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $257 257 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.1% | 2 | 0.8 | — | | [Sticker \| kinqie (Gold) \| Berlin 2019 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kinqie-gold-berlin-2019) | 10.9% | $32.00 32 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.5% | 0 | 1.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Twistzz (Gold) \| Paris 2023 sticker · #F2F8FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-twistzz-gold-paris-2023) | 15.3% | $24.45 24.45 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.5% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.73× | | [Sticker \| nicoodoz (Gold) \| Rio 2022 sticker · #F2F8FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-nicoodoz-gold-rio-2022) | 1 in 23 | $20.43 20.43 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 2 | 0.4 | — | | [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver \| Banana Cannon (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-banana-cannon-factory-new) | 19.6% | $11.66 11.66 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 1 | 1.8 | 0.57× | | [Sticker \| misutaaa (Gold) \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-misutaaa-gold-antwerp-2022) | 13.1% | $6.23 6.23 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.85× | | [Sticker \| Hello AK-47 (Gold) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hello-ak-47-gold) | 1 in 15 | $3.29 3.29 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [Sticker \| n0rb3r7 (Gold, Champion) \| Rio 2022 sticker · #F2F8FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-n0rb3r7-gold-champion-rio-2022) | 1 in 45 | $1.88 1.88 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=186`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Souvenir AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-gold-arabesque-field-tested) Hidden $800 800 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1,740 1,740 CSGOBIG\_COIN 2.18x 2026-11-03 05:49 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=186) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $800 | 90.00% | 15 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.7% remarkable 0.1% extraordinary 0.8% covert 9.0% #EB4B4B 41.4% #F2F8FF 21.8% restricted 19.6% #8847ff 6.6% best hit $1,740 (2.18x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt