--- title: "Cyberpunk Chronicles case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Cyberpunk Chronicles ($5.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds, observed 48.07% over 53 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/188 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:10Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Cyberpunk Chronicles](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/188) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Cyberpunk Chronicles A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/188?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/188?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/188) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/188?window=all) Price · $5.00 · 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $4.50 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 48.07% · 53 openings, odds method Variance · 648.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.6% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 81.7% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 5 openings · below min 7 days · 40 openings · below min 30 days · 53 openings · below min since tracking started · 53 openings · below min -0.5% 1123.8% 2248.0% **Small sample.** 53 openings and 5.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/188?window=24h) | 5 | 16.00% ±2231.2 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/188?window=7d) | 40 | 41.98% ±788.9 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/188) | 53 | 48.07% ±685.3 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/188?window=all) | 53 | 48.07% ±685.3 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 53 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 10,000 | $12.7K 12,718 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 28.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-minimal-wear) | 10.6% | $17.94 17.94 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 42.2% | 3 | 5.6 | 0.54× | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $14.13 14.13 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 14.5% | 2 | 2.5 | 0.82× | | [Desert Eagle \| Night (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-minimal-wear) | 1 in 32 | $5.67 5.67 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.9% | 4 | 1.7 | 2.41× | | [MAC-10 \| Indigo (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-indigo-field-tested) | 1 in 61 | $1.47 1.47 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.5% | 0 | 0.9 | — | | [Anubis Collection Package container · #F2F8FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/anubis-collection-package) | 13.6% | $1.47 1.47 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.4% | 5 | 7.2 | 0.70× | | [Souvenir MAC-10 \| Indigo (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mac-10-indigo-battle-scarred) | 1 in 13 | $0.91 0.91 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.5% | 2 | 4.0 | 0.50× | | [M249 \| Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-midnight-palm-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16 | $0.66 0.66 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.9% | 4 | 3.2 | 1.23× | | [Sawed-Off \| Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-amber-fade-field-tested) | 16.5% | $0.51 0.51 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.9% | 11 | 8.8 | 1.26× | | [Souvenir Five-SeveN \| Forest Night (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-five-seven-forest-night-battle-scarred) | 1 in 11 | $0.36 0.36 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.7% | 7 | 4.8 | 1.45× | | [P90 \| Ancient Earth (Well-Worn) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-ancient-earth-well-worn) | 15.0% | $0.19 0.19 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.6% | 7 | 8.0 | 0.88× | | [R8 Revolver \| Night (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-night-battle-scarred) | 12.1% | $0.17 0.17 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.5% | 8 | 6.4 | 1.25× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=188`, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=188) [P90 | Ancient Earth (Well-Worn) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-ancient-earth-well-worn) [;p](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/%3Bp) $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.19 0.19 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-10 21:00 UTC [Anubis Collection Package container · #F2F8FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/anubis-collection-package) Hidden $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.47 1.47 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.29x 2026-11-10 21:00 UTC [Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-amber-fade-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.51 0.51 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.10x 2026-11-10 21:00 UTC [Souvenir Five-SeveN | Forest Night (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-five-seven-forest-night-battle-scarred) Hidden $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.36 0.36 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-10 21:00 UTC [Anubis Collection Package container · #F2F8FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/anubis-collection-package) Hidden $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.47 1.47 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.29x 2026-11-10 21:00 UTC [Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-amber-fade-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.51 0.51 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.10x 2026-11-09 04:39 UTC [Anubis Collection Package container · #F2F8FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/anubis-collection-package) Hidden $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.47 1.47 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.29x 2026-11-09 04:39 UTC [R8 Revolver | Night (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-night-battle-scarred) [osamabeenlaidin](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/osamabeenlaidin) $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.17 0.17 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-08 00:59 UTC [Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-amber-fade-field-tested) [Bruder bin Laden](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/Bruder%20bin%20Laden) $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.51 0.51 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.10x 2026-11-08 00:59 UTC [R8 Revolver | Night (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-night-battle-scarred) Hidden $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.17 0.17 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-08 00:59 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $5.00 | 90.00% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 4.6% pink 10.6% industrial 3.1% Common 1.6% #F2F8FF 13.6% #B0C3D9 43.8% Uncommon 6.1% milspec 16.5% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt