--- title: "Steampunk Showpiece case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Steampunk Showpiece ($5.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.15% from 12 items with odds, observed 36.94% over 13 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/189 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:35Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Steampunk Showpiece](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/189) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Steampunk Showpiece A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/189?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/189?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/189) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/189?window=all) Price · $5.00 · 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.15% · EV $4.51 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 36.94% · 13 openings, odds method Variance · 36.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 21.2% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 74.2% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 3 openings · below min 7 days · 10 openings · below min 30 days · 13 openings · below min since tracking started · 13 openings · below min -0.5% 360.0% 720.5% **Small sample.** 13 openings and 2.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/189?window=24h) | 3 | 34.93% ±685.1 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/189?window=7d) | 10 | 26.90% ±375.3 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/189) | 13 | 36.94% ±329.1 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/189?window=all) | 13 | 36.94% ±329.1 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 13 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Slingshot (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-slingshot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $2,962 2,962 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir P250 \| Digital Architect (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p250-digital-architect-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16 | $26.29 26.29 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 35.4% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Umbral Rabbit (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-umbral-rabbit-minimal-wear) | 15.1% | $8.92 8.92 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 29.9% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.51× | | [Sticker \| PENTA Sports (Foil) \| Krakow 2017 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-penta-sports-foil-krakow-2017) | 1 in 22 | $6.94 6.94 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.0% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-well-worn) | 13.6% | $4.66 4.66 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 14.1% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.13× | | [Souvenir PP-Bizon \| Urban Dashed (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-pp-bizon-urban-dashed-minimal-wear) | 1 in 65 | $2.10 2.1 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [AUG \| Radiation Hazard (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-radiation-hazard-field-tested) | 12.1% | $1.06 1.06 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.8% | 3 | 1.6 | 1.91× | | [Sticker \| tabseN (Holo) \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-tabsen-holo-antwerp-2022) | 10.6% | $0.58 0.58 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.4% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.45× | | [Sticker \| gla1ve \| London 2018 sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gla1ve-london-2018) | 1 in 13 | $0.52 0.52 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.9% | 2 | 1.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Obey SAS sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-obey-sas) | 16.6% | $0.27 0.27 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.0% | 1 | 2.2 | 0.46× | | [Sticker \| The MongolZ (Glitter) \| Paris 2023 sticker · 8](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-the-mongolz-glitter-paris-2023) | 1 in 33 | $0.07 0.07 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Sticker \| Renegades (Glitter) \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · 8](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-renegades-glitter-antwerp-2022) | 1 in 11 | $0.06 0.06 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.69× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=189`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=189) [MP5-SD | Phosphor (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN $4.66 4.66 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.93x 2026-11-11 06:39 UTC [Sticker | gla1ve | London 2018 sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gla1ve-london-2018) Hidden $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.52 0.52 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.10x 2026-11-11 06:39 UTC [Sticker | Renegades (Glitter) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · 8](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-renegades-glitter-antwerp-2022) Hidden $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.06 0.06 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 06:39 UTC [AUG | Radiation Hazard (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-radiation-hazard-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.06 1.06 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.21x 2026-11-08 04:39 UTC [Sticker | Obey SAS sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-obey-sas) Hidden $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.27 0.27 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-08 03:19 UTC [Sticker | gla1ve | London 2018 sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gla1ve-london-2018) Hidden $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.52 0.52 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.10x 2026-11-08 03:19 UTC [MP5-SD | Phosphor (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN $4.66 4.66 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.93x 2026-11-07 23:40 UTC [Sticker | Renegades (Glitter) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · 8](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-renegades-glitter-antwerp-2022) Hidden $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.06 0.06 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-07 23:40 UTC [Sticker | tabseN (Holo) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-tabsen-holo-antwerp-2022) Hidden $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.58 0.58 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.12x 2026-11-07 23:40 UTC [AUG | Radiation Hazard (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-radiation-hazard-field-tested) [Kieran](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/Kieran) $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.06 1.06 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.21x 2026-11-07 23:40 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $5.00 | 90.15% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed 8 12.1% extraordinary 0.0% restricted 21.2% #D32CE6 15.2% classified 13.6% #B0C3D9 1.5% industrial 12.1% #4B69FF 7.6% high 16.6% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.15 on average: an expected loss of $9.85 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt