--- title: "Mystical Forest case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Mystical Forest ($10.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds, observed 100.73% over 30 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/191 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:18Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Mystical Forest](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/191) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Mystical Forest A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/191?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/191?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/191) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/191?window=all) Price · $10.00 · 10 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $9.00 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 100.73% · 30 openings, odds method Variance · 40.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 81.8% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 7 openings · below min 7 days · 30 openings · below min 30 days · 30 openings · below min since tracking started · 30 openings · below min -0.5% 301.5% 603.5% **Small sample.** 30 openings and 2.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/191?window=24h) | 7 | 134.39% ±468.2 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/191?window=7d) | 30 | 100.73% ±226.2 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/191) | 30 | 100.73% ±226.2 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/191?window=all) | 30 | 100.73% ±226.2 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 30 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 10,000 | $6,132 6,132 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-dragonfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $44.14 44.14 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 44.6% | 6 | 2.7 | 2.20× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-well-worn) | 1 in 13 | $41.39 41.39 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 34.8% | 0 | 2.3 | 0.00× | | [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Primal Saber (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-primal-saber-factory-new) | 1 in 65 | $20.34 20.34 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.5% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [StatTrak™ M249 \| Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m249-emerald-poison-dart-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $4.41 4.41 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.5% | 0 | 0.9 | — | | [Sticker \| Seeing Red (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-seeing-red-foil) | 15.1% | $3.20 3.2 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.4% | 10 | 4.5 | 2.20× | | [PP-Bizon \| Chemical Green (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-chemical-green-well-worn) | 12.1% | $1.95 1.95 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.6% | 2 | 3.6 | 0.55× | | [StatTrak™ PP-Bizon \| Jungle Slipstream (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-jungle-slipstream-minimal-wear) | 10.6% | $0.40 0.4 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.5% | 1 | 3.2 | 0.31× | | [SCAR-20 \| Jungle Slipstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-jungle-slipstream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 22 | $0.13 0.13 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.46× | | [PP-Bizon \| Jungle Slipstream (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-jungle-slipstream-field-tested) | 13.6% | $0.11 0.11 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 6 | 4.1 | 1.47× | | [Souvenir SSG 08 \| Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $0.04 0.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× | | [Sealed Graffiti \| Sorry (Jungle Green) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-sorry-jungle-green) | 16.7% | $0.04 0.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 3 | 5.0 | 0.60× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=191`, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=191) [StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-jungle-slipstream-minimal-wear) Hidden $10.00 10 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.40 0.4 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:09 UTC [StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-dragonfire-minimal-wear) Hidden $10.00 10 CSGOBIG\_COIN $44.14 44.14 CSGOBIG\_COIN 4.41x 2026-11-11 13:09 UTC [StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-dragonfire-minimal-wear) Hidden $10.00 10 CSGOBIG\_COIN $44.14 44.14 CSGOBIG\_COIN 4.41x 2026-11-11 05:40 UTC [PP-Bizon | Chemical Green (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-chemical-green-well-worn) [azi](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/azi) $10.00 10 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.95 1.95 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.20x 2026-11-11 05:40 UTC [PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-jungle-slipstream-field-tested) Hidden $10.00 10 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.11 0.11 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 05:40 UTC [SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-jungle-slipstream-battle-scarred) Hidden $10.00 10 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.13 0.13 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 05:40 UTC [Sticker | Seeing Red (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-seeing-red-foil) Hidden $10.00 10 CSGOBIG\_COIN $3.20 3.2 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.32x 2026-11-11 05:40 UTC [PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-jungle-slipstream-field-tested) Hidden $10.00 10 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.11 0.11 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-08 15:50 UTC [Sticker | Seeing Red (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-seeing-red-foil) [IceC](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/IceC) $10.00 10 CSGOBIG\_COIN $3.20 3.2 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.32x 2026-11-08 15:50 UTC [StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-dragonfire-minimal-wear) Hidden $10.00 10 CSGOBIG\_COIN $44.14 44.14 CSGOBIG\_COIN 4.41x 2026-11-06 20:19 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $10.00 | 90.00% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed 1 4.6% covert 9.1% Ancient 7.6% #d32ee6 1.5% Restricted 3.0% exotic 15.1% industrial 12.1% milspec 10.6% #4b69ff 13.6% Consumer Grade 6.1% Common 16.7% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt