--- title: "Galactic Guardians case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Galactic Guardians ($15.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds, observed 51.43% over 5 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/195 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:24Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Galactic Guardians](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/195) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Galactic Guardians A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/195?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/195?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/195) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/195?window=all) Price · $15.00 · 15 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $13.50 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 51.43% · 5 openings, odds method Variance · 16.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 13.8% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 86.2% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 5 openings · below min 30 days · 5 openings · below min since tracking started · 5 openings · below min -0.5% 201.3% 403.0% **Small sample.** 5 openings and 0.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/195?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/195?window=7d) | 5 | 51.43% ±351.1 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/195) | 5 | 51.43% ±351.1 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/195?window=all) | 5 | 51.43% ±351.1 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 5 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $851 851 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 31.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ G3SG1 \| Flux (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-g3sg1-flux-minimal-wear) | 13.3% | $30.20 30.2 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 29.8% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [Sticker \| Space Soldiers (Holo) \| Boston 2018 sticker · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-space-soldiers-holo-boston-2018) | 1 in 11 | $14.04 14.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.4% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Control Panel (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-control-panel-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $12.53 12.53 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [G3SG1 \| Flux (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-flux-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $10.83 10.83 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-orbit-mk01-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $9.84 9.84 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control-factory-new) | 1 in 51 | $8.80 8.8 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| Apocalypto (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-apocalypto-factory-new) | 10.5% | $5.61 5.61 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.3% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Praetorian (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-praetorian-minimal-wear) | 14.7% | $4.19 4.19 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.6% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [StatTrak™ P250 \| Supernova (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-supernova-minimal-wear) | 1 in 30 | $3.63 3.63 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [AWP \| Phobos (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-phobos-minimal-wear) | 16.1% | $1.60 1.6 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.9% | 2 | 0.8 | — | | [P250 \| Supernova (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-supernova-well-worn) | 11.9% | $0.98 0.98 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.9% | 1 | 0.6 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=195`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=195) [P250 | Supernova (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-supernova-well-worn) Hidden $15.00 15 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.98 0.98 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-10 13:30 UTC [AWP | Phobos (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-phobos-minimal-wear) Hidden $15.00 15 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.60 1.6 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.11x 2026-11-10 13:30 UTC [StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-g3sg1-flux-minimal-wear) Hidden $15.00 15 CSGOBIG\_COIN $30.20 30.2 CSGOBIG\_COIN 2.01x 2026-11-10 13:30 UTC [AWP | Phobos (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-phobos-minimal-wear) Hidden $15.00 15 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.60 1.6 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.11x 2026-11-10 13:30 UTC [StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-praetorian-minimal-wear) Hidden $15.00 15 CSGOBIG\_COIN $4.19 4.19 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.28x 2026-11-10 13:30 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $15.00 | 90.00% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 20.5% #8847FF 23.8% pink 7.6% violet 6.2% restricted 22.4% Mythical 3.4% #8847ff 16.1% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt