---
title: "Pirate's Plunder case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Pirate's Plunder ($20.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds, observed 59.83% over 23 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/197
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:08Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Pirate's Plunder](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/197)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Pirate's Plunder

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/197?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/197?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/197) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/197?window=all)

Price · $20.00 · 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $18.00 from 12 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 59.83% · 23 openings, odds method

Variance · 11.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 14.3% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 85.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 6 openings · below min

7 days · 16 openings · below min

30 days · 23 openings · below min

since tracking started · 23 openings · below min

-0.5% 159.0% 318.5%

**Small sample.** 23 openings and 3.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/197?window=24h) | 6 | 48.70% ±269.2 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/197?window=7d) | 16 | 68.42% ±164.8 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/197) | 23 | 59.83% ±137.5 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/197?window=all) | 23 | 59.83% ±137.5 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 23 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $683 683 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 37.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [USP-S \| Ancient Visions (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ancient-visions-well-worn) | 13.3% | $27.72 27.72 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 20.5% | 3 | 3.1 | 0.98× |
| [Souvenir USP-S \| Ancient Visions (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-usp-s-ancient-visions-factory-new) | 14.8% | $15.30 15.3 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.5% | 2 | 3.4 | 0.59× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 11 | $14.34 14.34 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.2% | 4 | 2.1 | 1.93× |
| [Tec-9 \| Rust Leaf (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-rust-leaf-battle-scarred) | 1 in 16 | $13.00 13 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.4% | 3 | 1.4 | 2.13× |
| [Souvenir Sawed-Off \| Rust Coat (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · #5E98D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-rust-coat-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $7.34 7.34 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.1% | 3 | 1.7 | 1.73× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 10.4% | $6.59 6.59 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.8% | 3 | 2.4 | 1.25× |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Gold Bismuth (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-gold-bismuth-well-worn) | 16.2% | $6.45 6.45 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.8% | 3 | 3.7 | 0.81× |
| [Souvenir MAC-10 \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mac-10-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 11.9% | $5.85 5.85 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.9% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [Stockholm 2021 Ancient Souvenir Package container · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/stockholm-2021-ancient-souvenir-package) | 1 in 31 | $3.35 3.35 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.6% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [Souvenir MAG-7 \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 55 | $0.78 0.78 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-bronze-deco-battle-scarred) | 1 in 21 | $0.63 0.63 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.93× |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=197`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=197)

[StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-gold-bismuth-well-worn) Hidden $20.00 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN $6.45 6.45 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.32x 2026-11-10 19:30 UTC

[Tec-9 | Rust Leaf (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-rust-leaf-battle-scarred) Hidden $20.00 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN $13.00 13 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.65x 2026-11-10 19:30 UTC

[Souvenir Sawed-Off | Rust Coat (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · #5E98D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-rust-coat-factory-new) Hidden $20.00 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN $7.34 7.34 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.37x 2026-11-10 19:30 UTC

[Stockholm 2021 Ancient Souvenir Package container · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/stockholm-2021-ancient-souvenir-package) Hidden $20.00 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN $3.35 3.35 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.17x 2026-11-10 19:30 UTC

[Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-usp-s-ancient-visions-factory-new) Hidden $20.00 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN $15.30 15.3 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.77x 2026-11-10 19:30 UTC

[Tec-9 | Rust Leaf (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-rust-leaf-battle-scarred) [Calculated](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/Calculated) $20.00 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN $13.00 13 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.65x 2026-11-10 19:30 UTC

[USP-S | Ancient Visions (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ancient-visions-well-worn) Hidden $20.00 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN $27.72 27.72 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.39x 2026-11-09 23:10 UTC

[StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-case-hardened-well-worn) Hidden $20.00 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN $14.34 14.34 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.72x 2026-11-09 23:10 UTC

[Souvenir Sawed-Off | Rust Coat (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · #5E98D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-rust-coat-factory-new) Hidden $20.00 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN $7.34 7.34 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.37x 2026-11-09 23:10 UTC

[StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-gold-bismuth-well-worn) Hidden $20.00 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN $6.45 6.45 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.32x 2026-11-09 23:10 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $20.00 | 90.00% | 12 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 1.0% Restricted 13.3% #8847FF 14.8% restricted 47.5% industrial 6.1% #5E98D9 7.6% #B0C3D9 3.2% Consumer Grade 1.8% #4b69ff 4.7% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt