---
title: "Goalkeeper's Glory case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Goalkeeper's Glory ($20.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds, observed 65.44% over 20 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/199
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:59Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Goalkeeper's Glory](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/199)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Goalkeeper's Glory

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/199?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/199?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/199) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/199?window=all)

Price · $20.00 · 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $18.00 from 12 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 65.44% · 20 openings, odds method

Variance · 23.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 12.7% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 87.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 1 openings · below min

7 days · 18 openings · below min

30 days · 20 openings · below min

since tracking started · 20 openings · below min

-0.5% 511.0% 1022.5%

**Small sample.** 20 openings and 2.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/199?window=24h) | 1 | 78.55% ±943.4 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/199?window=7d) | 18 | 71.69% ±222.4 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/199) | 20 | 65.44% ±211.0 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/199?window=all) | 20 | 65.44% ±211.0 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 22 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 200 | $1,360 1,360 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 37.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Souvenir M4A4 \| Radiation Hazard (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a4-radiation-hazard-field-tested) | 1 in 32 | $63.70 63.7 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.2% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [Souvenir P2000 \| Amber Fade (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p2000-amber-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $41.05 41.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 20.6% | 3 | 2.0 | 1.51× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-asiimov-well-worn) | 14.9% | $15.71 15.71 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.0% | 5 | 3.3 | 1.52× |
| [MAC-10 \| Amber Fade (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-amber-fade-factory-new) | 13.5% | $12.21 12.21 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.1% | 1 | 3.0 | 0.34× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Amber Fade (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-amber-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 59 | $10.00 10 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.9% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [Souvenir Galil AR \| Amber Fade (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-galil-ar-amber-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 16 | $4.85 4.85 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.6% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.74× |
| [P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-field-tested) | 16.4% | $2.94 2.94 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.7% | 3 | 3.6 | 0.83× |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Obsidian (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-obsidian-battle-scarred) | 12.0% | $2.38 2.38 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.6% | 3 | 2.6 | 1.14× |
| [SG 553 \| Tiger Moth (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-tiger-moth-field-tested) | 10.5% | $1.30 1.3 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.8% | 3 | 2.3 | 1.30× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Amber Fade (Factory New) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-amber-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $0.94 0.94 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Urban Hazard (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-urban-hazard-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $0.89 0.89 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.4% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.20× |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=199`, 11 Nov, 19:23 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=199)

[StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-asiimov-well-worn) Hidden $20.00 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN $15.71 15.71 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.79x 2026-11-11 15:09 UTC

[Souvenir M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a4-radiation-hazard-field-tested) Hidden $20.00 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN $63.70 63.7 CSGOBIG\_COIN 3.19x 2026-11-09 23:29 UTC

[Souvenir P2000 | Amber Fade (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p2000-amber-fade-factory-new) Hidden $20.00 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN $41.05 41.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN 2.05x 2026-11-09 23:29 UTC

[Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-galil-ar-amber-fade-factory-new) Hidden $20.00 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN $4.85 4.85 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.24x 2026-11-09 23:10 UTC

[StatTrak™ P2000 | Obsidian (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-obsidian-battle-scarred) Hidden $20.00 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.38 2.38 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.12x 2026-11-09 23:10 UTC

[Souvenir P2000 | Amber Fade (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p2000-amber-fade-factory-new) Hidden $20.00 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN $41.05 41.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN 2.05x 2026-11-09 23:10 UTC

[MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-amber-fade-factory-new) Hidden $20.00 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN $12.21 12.21 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.61x 2026-11-09 23:10 UTC

[StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-asiimov-well-worn) [PepaRambo](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/PepaRambo) $20.00 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN $15.71 15.71 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.79x 2026-11-09 23:10 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Urban Hazard (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-urban-hazard-factory-new) Hidden $20.00 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.89 0.89 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-09 23:10 UTC

[P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-field-tested) Hidden $20.00 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.94 2.94 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.15x 2026-11-08 22:50 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $20.00 | 90.00% | 12 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 1 4.6% covert 15.4% blue 3.2% #8847FF 9.0% mil spec 21.0% classified 18.1% Mil Spec Grade 6.1% restricted 12.0% #8847ff 10.5% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt