--- title: "Hoops Havoc case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Hoops Havoc ($25.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.97% from 12 items with odds, observed 32.73% over 53 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/201 rendered: 2026-11-12T02:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Hoops Havoc](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/201) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Hoops Havoc A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/201?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/201?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/201) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/201?window=all) Price · $25.00 · 25 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 89.97% · EV $22.49 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 32.73% · 53 openings, odds method Variance · 109.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 333 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.2% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 4 openings · below min 7 days · 36 openings · below min 30 days · 53 openings · below min since tracking started · 53 openings · below min -0.5% 529.8% 1060.0% **Small sample.** 53 openings and 0.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/201?window=24h) | 4 | 32.69% ±1026.7 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/201?window=7d) | 36 | 33.50% ±342.2 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/201) | 53 | 32.73% ±282.1 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/201?window=all) | 53 | 32.73% ±282.1 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 53 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| The Prince (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $4,784 4,784 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 63.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Bright Water (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-bright-water-well-worn) | 1 in 66 | $106 106 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.2% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-forest-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $86.54 86.54 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.6% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.25× | | [Souvenir AK-47 \| Safety Net (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-safety-net-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $22.81 22.81 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.2% | 8 | 4.8 | 1.67× | | [Sticker \| Golden (Foil) \| Boston 2018 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-golden-foil-boston-2018) | 16.6% | $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.7% | 9 | 8.8 | 1.02× | | [Sticker \| fitch (Foil) \| Katowice 2019 sticker · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fitch-foil-katowice-2019) | 10.6% | $3.18 3.18 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.5% | 2 | 5.6 | 0.36× | | [Sawed-Off \| Wasteland Princess (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-wasteland-princess-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $3.15 3.15 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.6% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.83× | | [Sticker \| Techno4K (Holo) \| Paris 2023 sticker · #F2F8FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-techno4k-holo-paris-2023) | 15.1% | $1.73 1.73 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.2% | 6 | 8.0 | 0.75× | | [Sticker \| Renegades (Holo) \| Katowice 2019 sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-renegades-holo-katowice-2019) | 13.6% | $1.37 1.37 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.8% | 4 | 7.2 | 0.56× | | [G3SG1 \| Keeping Tabs (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-keeping-tabs-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $1.25 1.25 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 3 | 3.2 | 0.94× | | [Sticker \| SunPayus (Glitter) \| Rio 2022 sticker · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sunpayus-glitter-rio-2022) | 12.1% | $0.05 0.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 12 | 6.4 | 1.87× | | [Sealed Graffiti \| Loser (Battle Green) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-loser-battle-green) | 1 in 13 | $0.04 0.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 5 | 4.0 | 1.25× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=201`, 12 Nov, 01:41 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=201) [Souvenir AK-47 | Safety Net (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-safety-net-minimal-wear) Hidden $25.00 25 CSGOBIG\_COIN $22.81 22.81 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.91x 2026-11-11 10:19 UTC [Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-wasteland-princess-field-tested) Hidden $25.00 25 CSGOBIG\_COIN $3.15 3.15 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.13x 2026-11-11 10:19 UTC [Sticker | Golden (Foil) | Boston 2018 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-golden-foil-boston-2018) Hidden $25.00 25 CSGOBIG\_COIN $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.20x 2026-11-11 10:19 UTC [Sticker | Techno4K (Holo) | Paris 2023 sticker · #F2F8FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-techno4k-holo-paris-2023) Hidden $25.00 25 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.73 1.73 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-11 04:49 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-forest-ddpat-minimal-wear) Hidden $25.00 25 CSGOBIG\_COIN $86.54 86.54 CSGOBIG\_COIN 3.46x 2026-11-10 09:39 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Loser (Battle Green) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-loser-battle-green) Hidden $25.00 25 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.04 0.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 09:39 UTC [Sticker | SunPayus (Glitter) | Rio 2022 sticker · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sunpayus-glitter-rio-2022) Hidden $25.00 25 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.05 0.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-08 05:29 UTC [Sticker | Golden (Foil) | Boston 2018 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-golden-foil-boston-2018) Hidden $25.00 25 CSGOBIG\_COIN $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.20x 2026-11-08 05:29 UTC [Sticker | Golden (Foil) | Boston 2018 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-golden-foil-boston-2018) Hidden $25.00 25 CSGOBIG\_COIN $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.20x 2026-11-08 05:29 UTC [Sticker | Golden (Foil) | Boston 2018 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-golden-foil-boston-2018) Hidden $25.00 25 CSGOBIG\_COIN $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.20x 2026-11-08 05:29 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $25.00 | 89.97% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 3.3% covert knife 1.5% restricted 9.1% remarkable 16.6% #8847FF 22.7% classified 4.5% #F2F8FF 15.1% Mythical 13.6% Mil Spec 6.0% Base Grade 7.6% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.97 on average: an expected loss of $10.03 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt